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-   -   $50 so so confused with top set (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=556057)

Chargers In 07 11-28-2007 12:12 AM

$50 so so confused with top set
 
villain is 5.9/5.9 after ~45 hands. I know I'm not folding but I'm confused as to b/c, c/c, or c/r.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (5 handed) Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

UTG ($20.70)
MP ($88.75)
Button ($130.60)
SB ($108.05)
Hero ($50)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to $2</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $7</font>, Button calls $5.

Flop: ($14.25) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $9</font>, Button calls $9.

Turn: ($32.25) J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero does something

dlorc 11-28-2007 12:13 AM

Re: $50 so so confused with top set
 
[x] Shove

billip62 11-28-2007 12:20 AM

Re: $50 so so confused with top set
 
brutal spot. with his stats if he doesn't have an ace he probably has a pocket pair that would hit a set on that board. If it's QQ nh, but I'd get it all in and maybe let out a small war cry to fold the straight.

KQ is part of his range (just and assuming the 5.9 is accurate), but it's actually more likely he has a set.

Chargers In 07 11-28-2007 12:21 AM

Re: $50 so so confused with top set
 
[ QUOTE ]
brutal spot. with his stats if he doesn't have an ace he probably has a pocket pair that would hit a set on that board. If it's QQ nh, but I'd get it all in and maybe let out a small war cry to fold the straight.

[/ QUOTE ]I'm not really afraid of losing, sure I could but I'm more interested in the best way to maximize value.

mdwexford 11-28-2007 12:22 AM

Re: $50 so so confused with top set
 
I just ship the turn, i also bet more on the flop, $11.50 is good.

billip62 11-28-2007 12:25 AM

Re: $50 so so confused with top set
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
brutal spot. with his stats if he doesn't have an ace he probably has a pocket pair that would hit a set on that board. If it's QQ nh, but I'd get it all in and maybe let out a small war cry to fold the straight.

[/ QUOTE ]I'm not really afraid of losing, sure I could but I'm more interested in the best way to maximize value.

[/ QUOTE ]

Well given that his most likely holding is a set I'd consider a check on the turn to trap him. it's a bit risky, but the turn is definately a scare card.

mickb70 11-28-2007 12:26 AM

Re: $50 so so confused with top set
 
[ QUOTE ]
I'm not really afraid of losing, sure I could but I'm more interested in the best way to maximize value.

[/ QUOTE ]

Shove. We have one pot sized bet left. If he'll call any part of that he'll call an all-in.

Profish2285 11-28-2007 12:54 AM

Re: $50 so so confused with top set
 
Im shoving here as well. The only reasonable queen he has is AQ and with those stats even thats pushing it but its a small sample so whatever. I feel like he could have AK here or a set fairly often and hes probably calling with those hands.


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