Ever not beat here?
 

This is a live game, so no easy hand history:

Me on Button: $500
BB: $600

Game is a California special: 2-3-5 Spread Limit, $10 to see the flop. That's $2 on button, $3 on sb, $5 on BB, a limp is $10. $200 max bet or raise.

Two limpers before me, I have AKo, raise to $40, sb mucks, BB raises $60 to $100 total. Both limpers muck. I call planning to muck if no A or K, not intending to bluff. Opponent is reasonable player who certainly can bluff.

Flop comes AT3 rainbow. I check, BB bets $100, I raise $200. Opponent pushes me all in.

Am I ever ahead here? Do I call anyways because there's $900 in the pot? I'm 15% against AT or 3% against TT/33.

Re: Ever not beat here?
 

call call call

Re: Ever not beat here?
 

There's no room for play when you're playing with 50BB effective. 20% went in preflop, you flop TPTK so now the other 80% goes in.

Re: Ever not beat here?
 

open fold... he has u beat!

Re: Ever not beat here?
 

[ QUOTE ]
call call call

[/ QUOTE ]

Re: Ever not beat here?
 

i would say that AT and 333 are 2 of his least likely holdings given preflop. dont fold.

Re: Ever not beat here?
 

lets think for a secend. he rr pre flop plz rule out A10 and 333.
call
call
call
2p2 has gone to [censored]

Re: Ever not beat here?
 

He has one way to have a set of Aces, three ways to have a set of tens, and six ways to have a top two.

He also has six ways to have AK.

If you can't put him on any other hands, that's ten ways you're beat and six where you're split.

6/16 * 0.5 (split) * 1100 (after call) = ev of 206.25, or 6.25 over the cost of the call.

If you can put him on anything else (other than A3 or a set of 3's) that's just gravey. Call.

Re: Ever not beat here?
 

Jesus

Re: Ever not beat here?
 

Oh, and this ignores the chance that you'll suck out if he has AT