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-   -   serious question, re: miami dolphins (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=492115)

BowToYourSensei 09-02-2007 05:38 PM

serious question, re: miami dolphins
 
am i insane for thinking the dolphins can easily go 4-2 in their first 6?

EDIT: this question is being done as a result of the guy booking my bet being wayyyy too willing to lower juice so i bet more

Magra 09-02-2007 06:21 PM

Re: serious question, re: miami dolphins
 
Sept. 9 at Washington Redskins
SEPT. 16 DALLAS COWBOYS
Sept. 23 at New York Jets
SEPT. 30 OAKLAND RAIDERS
Oct. 7 at Houston Texans
Oct. 14 at Cleveland Browns

@ NYJ and Dallas are the hardest games on their schedule for the first 6. Both are still winnable, but wouldn't be shocked if they lost both. Cleveland and Texas should be wins, and Oakland IMO is about 70% win. I think Washington could suprise people though. I think Cambell will be improved, a healthy Portis/Moss/Cooley will be good. Not too sure on Wash's D-Line, but I do know the secondary isn't the best. 6-2 is very possible, but I see them at 5-3

brettbrettr 09-02-2007 06:27 PM

Re: serious question, re: miami dolphins
 
[ QUOTE ]
Sept. 9 at Washington Redskins
SEPT. 16 DALLAS COWBOYS
Sept. 23 at New York Jets
SEPT. 30 OAKLAND RAIDERS
Oct. 7 at Houston Texans
Oct. 14 at Cleveland Browns

@ NYJ and Dallas are the hardest games on their schedule for the first 6. Both are still winnable, but wouldn't be shocked if they lost both. Cleveland and Texas should be wins, and Oakland IMO is about 70% win. I think Washington could suprise people though. I think Cambell will be improved, a healthy Portis/Moss/Cooley will be good. Not too sure on Wash's D-Line, but I do know the secondary isn't the best. 6-2 is very possible, but I see them at 5-3

[/ QUOTE ]

4-2 seems do-able, maybe. Thing is, you'r asking them to win 3 games on the raod. That's a lot.

Also, check out their last 7:

Nov. 18 at Philadelphia Eagles 1:00 pm# CBS
Nov. 26 at Pittsburgh Steelers 8:30 pm ESPN
DEC. 2 NEW YORK JETS 1:00 PM# CBS
Dec. 9 at Buffalo Bills 1:00 pm# CBS
DEC. 16 BALTIMORE RAVENS 1:00 PM# CBS
Dec. 23 at New England Patriots 1:00 pm# CBS
DEC. 30 CINCINNATI BENGALS 1:00 PM# CBS

stormstarter28 09-02-2007 06:44 PM

Re: serious question, re: miami dolphins
 
Not easily, no. 3 road wins is rarely easy. It would be much easier for them to suck hard.

doucy 09-02-2007 07:18 PM

Re: serious question, re: miami dolphins
 
what odds did you get? i could see this being a decent bet

metsandfinsfan 09-02-2007 07:28 PM

Re: serious question, re: miami dolphins
 
they could conceivably win both of their home games and then win 2 of 4 on the road

but i might have my teal goggles on

MacGuyV 09-02-2007 07:32 PM

Re: serious question, re: miami dolphins
 
[ QUOTE ]
they could conceivably win both of their home games and then win 2 of 4 on the road


[/ QUOTE ]

I agree.

BowToYourSensei 09-02-2007 07:39 PM

Re: serious question, re: miami dolphins
 
[ QUOTE ]
what odds did you get? i could see this being a decent bet

[/ QUOTE ]

initially i put 250 at +128
then i put another 125 at +200

nutshot2 09-02-2007 07:52 PM

Re: serious question, re: miami dolphins
 
[ QUOTE ]
they could conceivably win both of their home games and then win 2 of 4 on the road

but i might have my teal goggles on

[/ QUOTE ]

i agree. but i also, unfortunately, rock the same teal and orange goggles.

PokerFink 09-02-2007 07:58 PM

Re: serious question, re: miami dolphins
 
BTYS,

+128 is bad. The schedule is easy, but the Dolphins aren't particularly good.

+200 seems decent to me.


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