Cowboys to death (100nl)
 

Villain is 22/8/3 over 70 hands, no other reads

a few hands earlier I 3bet got called and bet/folded flop. Not against him but he might view me as a little bit tilted..?

anyway, what is best play on turn?

Full Tilt Poker, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker Hand History Converter

SB: $133.40
Hero (BB): $114.30
UTG: $42.40
MP: $98
CO: $52.55
BTN: $197.10

Pre-Flop: K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BB)
UTG calls $1, MP calls $1, CO folds, BTN calls $1, SB calls $0.50, <font color="red">Hero raises to $7</font>, UTG folds, MP calls $6, 2 folds

Flop: ($17) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $14</font>, MP calls $14

Turn: ($45) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero

Re: Cowboys to death (100nl)
 

CRAI. Villains probably floating this flop w/ a small/med. PP and unless its exactly 88 your good. firing another barrell here lets villain fold his PP's too easy if you havent been double barrelling alot.

Re: Cowboys to death (100nl)
 

I'm stacking this off one way or another.

bet $30-36 and have to call a push.

if you think crai is the play to get him to stack off then that is fine.

i think it is a little ridiculous to worry about a 9 here in his range (unless A9s). although 88 is definetly in his range i really think TT and JJ are much more likely with those stats.

Re: Cowboys to death (100nl)
 

JJ is not in his range, he's raising that, his pfr of 8 probably contains TT in his raising range too. i would say 88, 77, it's a pretty dry board, i'm a little unsure what to do here, what do we do if we bet and get raised, are we dumping it because 22/8/3 guy is not raising the turn with something we beat given this board. I'm leaning towards c/c to let him bluff, because this board isn't that drawy.

Re: Cowboys to death (100nl)
 

seems like a straight forward push to me. Either he has a 9 or he doesnt (or pocket 88s). The flat call on the flop is funny so he may be slowplaying a 9 or chasing with 10 J, but more than likely I would say 10 10, JJ, or QQ. A push will get him off a draw, get him to fold a lower pair, and he will probably call with any of the above hands. You are beating far more than you are losing against