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-   -   tough spot in blind vs. blind battle on the bubble (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=532505)

diskopoker 10-27-2007 10:35 AM

tough spot in blind vs. blind battle on the bubble
 
i am at my local casino last night in a $60 freezeout.
final table, 9 left. top 7 get paid. I have 66k, blinds are 3/6 (prob about 5th in chips)
i am in BB with J3h, everyone folds to sb who limps. (sb has me covered but doesnt seem very good) i think about raising then decide to see a flop. flop comes down Ah Qh Jc
sb checks and i bet 6k
sb check raises me to 18k
if i call i have 42k behind. we are almost in the money.
i think this is a particularly tough spot. what range of hands do you put him on and what is your move and why?

Kinslayer44 10-27-2007 10:42 AM

Re: tough spot in blind vs. blind battle on the bubble
 
I'd shove here. Unless he has two pair or a set you are never worse than 50% to win here, and with all the dead money in there that's very +EV, especially since most two pair / set hands would have raised preflop. You also might have some fold equity but probably not much unless you see him as an aggressive player, which most live players aren't.

M1cKmAcK 10-27-2007 10:55 AM

Re: tough spot in blind vs. blind battle on the bubble
 
Yeah I'd shove too. This looks like she's just bullying you around. Possibly an ace-small. 9-10? I dunno. But you're a favorite to almost anything she calls you with.

tomek322 10-27-2007 11:43 AM

Re: tough spot in blind vs. blind battle on the bubble
 
easy shove.

hamnegger 10-27-2007 12:26 PM

Re: tough spot in blind vs. blind battle on the bubble
 
shove


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