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-   -   400nl - Standard spot with 99 oop (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=522412)

Nick Royale 10-13-2007 10:17 PM

400nl - Standard spot with 99 oop
 
Villain is 20/8/2.6 over a big sample. 25% wtsd. No other reads.


Prima Network No-Limit Hold'em, $4.00 BB (6 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

Hero ($448.83)
Button ($477.00)
SB ($464.46)
BB ($539.91)
UTG ($447.00)
MP ($487.90)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $16</font>, Button calls $16, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>.

Flop: ($38) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $26</font>, Button calls $26.

Turn: ($90) Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Button bets $45</font>, Hero calls $45.

River: ($180) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Button bets $90</font>


Bet/fold or check/call turn? Check/call or check/fold river? And how does your river action depend on your turn action?

Mossberg 10-13-2007 10:21 PM

Re: 400nl - Standard spot with 99 oop
 
I'd bet the turn vs this guy. As played, I doubt he is the type to valuebet a worse pocket pair, or to bluff again (for 1/2 pot) with a missed draw. I think you need to fold to the river bet without a read.

Speedlimits 10-13-2007 10:22 PM

Re: 400nl - Standard spot with 99 oop
 
bet this turn

Unknown Soldier 10-13-2007 10:23 PM

Re: 400nl - Standard spot with 99 oop
 
was gonna write pretty much exactly the same thing as Moss. Just adding that he could well be passive with draws on the flop, hence the turn bet.

AAismyfriend 10-13-2007 10:26 PM

Re: 400nl - Standard spot with 99 oop
 
I bet the turn unless I have reason to believe he's a floater, I would call the river as played since his line doesn't make a lot sense to me unless he has a flopped set.

Nick Royale 10-13-2007 10:35 PM

Re: 400nl - Standard spot with 99 oop
 
I think I agree with the turn bet vs this guy. And no, I don't think he's a floater. My reasoning for checking was he won't call worse made hands 76s/77/88. And by check/calling the turn I thought I'd minimize the risk of getting bluffed on the river, a bet I didn't plan to pay off. He's less likely to bluff a busted draw on the river if I check and psik off a bluff on the turn ime. I'm afraid I'm just out-thinking myself though.

Fwiw his bet riv % was 32. Pretty high...

Praetor 10-13-2007 10:42 PM

Re: 400nl - Standard spot with 99 oop
 
bet fold turn


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