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-   -   *** OFFICIAL 10/21/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD *** (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=525453)

Performify 10-17-2007 11:40 PM

*** OFFICIAL 10/21/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
 
TEN @ HOU 1:00 PM
TB @ DET 1:00 PM
ATL @ NO 1:00 PM
BAL @ BUF 1:00 PM
SF @ NYG 1:00 PM
ARI @ WAS 1:00 PM
NE @ MIA 1:00 PM

Nonfiction 10-18-2007 12:39 PM

Re: *** OFFICIAL 10/21/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
 
2u on Wash -7. I'm a Wash homer, but coming off of another game where they dominated but failed to put the Packers away, the Redskins have "something to prove." On top of that, their defense is playing spectacularly, and Tim Rattay is awful. Line has already moved to -8.5 on some books.

Nonfiction 10-18-2007 12:42 PM

Re: *** OFFICIAL 10/21/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
 
Also considering betting (or maybe wonging?) tampa (currently +2.5 on bodog)

agencia1 10-18-2007 01:40 PM

Re: *** OFFICIAL 10/21/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
 
im in for 300 under 35 on blat/buff
and 200 on parlay w the under 35 and -3 balt
good balt d vs bad buff o and their qb situation
and kyle boller doesnt exactly excite me either
this is going to be close tho. 35 is pretty low.

agencia1 10-18-2007 01:43 PM

Re: *** OFFICIAL 10/21/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
 
im staying clear of wash game.
rattay looked bad but he wasnt ready to play
as a 2nd stringer he has been nearly as bad as last wks numbers. and ariz doesnt play badly on the road.

thinking maybe the no/ atl game. gotta think about that one

agencia1 10-18-2007 02:12 PM

Re: *** OFFICIAL 10/21/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
 
ne/ miami is a no go also. im spooked by how close miami played them last yr. yeh ne is playing out of their minds but that is a monstrous spread

agencia1 10-18-2007 02:47 PM

Re: *** OFFICIAL 10/21/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
 

in for 300 on no -8, i liked how no played them last yr
w vick but now atl has a qb who doesnt move at all
leftwich is def more of a deep ball threat than harrington tho
and for 200 parlay of no -8/balt -3
above my usual 1k wknd limit. oops.
so im done betting for the wk.

Vagos 10-18-2007 05:23 PM

Re: *** OFFICIAL 10/21/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
 
[ QUOTE ]
im in for 300 under 35 on blat/buff
and 200 on parlay w the under 35 and -3 balt
good balt d vs bad buff o and their qb situation
and kyle boller doesnt exactly excite me either
this is going to be close tho. 35 is pretty low.

[/ QUOTE ]

Eek, I dunno. Ravens are 0-3 against the spread on the road this year, Buffalo 3-0 against the spread at home. The Bills won one of those games and lost the other two to last second FG's.

Ravens are insanely overrated in my opinion, they could easily be 2-4. They haven't played one team who has a record over .500 and they barely squeeked out victories against the Cardinals, 49'ers and Jets. Also Trent Edwards is the guy in Buffalo, and he's looked decent. I wouldn't be concerned about him giving the ball away much, especially against a Baltimore secondary that hasn't been as sharp this year. Lynch has been solid too. Baltimore's offense is abysmal at best. I'd take Buffalo +3 here.

agencia1 10-18-2007 05:58 PM

Re: *** OFFICIAL 10/21/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
 
i agree bout balt being overrated.
their offense w boller is pretty weak
id agree that edwards isnt bad. prob better than losman
but buff offense still anemic enough for me.
they def played some good teams so far
but a max of 2 offensive td's coming vs a wk njets teams
is enough for me
dunno either way this is a small edge.
i was thinking spread would be -4.5
and when i saw -3 i was in.

MacGuyV 10-18-2007 10:03 PM

Re: *** OFFICIAL 10/21/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
 
Pretty standard stay-away game imo. I also predicted a 4.5 spread but I think it will be close. The Ravens OL is really banged up as they play rookies at both tackles. I don't see them really exploiting the Bills rush D given that they couldn't average 3ypc at home vs. the Rams. It should come down to the passing games & turnovers which obv. favors Balt w/ their defense but I can see Evans finally making a play or two coming off a bye w/ McAllister out.

BTW I am encouraged that neutral fans seem to like Edwards, though I'm proceeding w/ caution. He does look poised for a rook but still 20 offensive pts in 2 home games is what it is.


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