50NL is this Baluga?
 

Villian is 21/14/1.8 over 70
Is the turn a fold, or the river?


iPoker No-Limit Texas Hold'em (NL50), $0.50 BB (5 handed) SilverKitty Hand History converter by www.pokeronline.com.ua

Hero ($64.85)
Button ($50)
SB ($49.7)
BB ($75.5)
MP3 ($31)

SB: Post SB $0.25
BB: Post BB $0.50

Preflop:
Hero is CO with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
<font color="#666666">1 folds</font>
Hero Raise $1.75
Button Call $1.75
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>

Flop:($4.25) K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]<font color="#0030DD">(2 players)</font>
Hero Bet $3
Button Call $3

Turn:($10.25) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]<font color="#0030DD">(2 players)</font>
Hero Bet $7
Button Raise $14
Hero Call $7

River:($38.25) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]<font color="#0030DD">(2 players)</font>
Hero Check
Button Bet $31.25
Hero ???

Re: 50NL is this Baluga?
 

I don't see him min raising here with a hand we can beat. Yes, its possible he may be thinking the turn card helped him if he has AQ- for a chop, but my initial reaction to this is AK or 77, possibly A7/A2. It's definitely a tough fold because you have so much invested, and an ace on the river would be fantastic, but that's obviously wishful thinking.

I call the turn and fold to this river shove, which is representing at least AK/A7/A2/77, all of which he could be calling with pre from the button.

Re: 50NL is this Baluga?
 

on the river, all you beat is a bluff.

I like a b/f on this river. You cant profitably call here imo.

as for the turn. Im not folding.

Re: 50NL is this Baluga?
 

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on the river, all you beat is a bluff.

I like a b/f on this river. You cant profitably call here imo.

as for the turn. Im not folding.

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What's he minraising on the turn, with those stats, that you beat? And how does the river change anything?

Re: 50NL is this Baluga?
 

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I like a b/f on this river.

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How much are you betting if your planning on folding whyzze?

Re: 50NL is this Baluga?
 

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on the river, all you beat is a bluff.

I like a b/f on this river. You cant profitably call here imo.

as for the turn. Im not folding.

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What's he minraising on the turn, with those stats, that you beat? And how does the river change anything?

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Adxd?

hes clearly a tagfish, he is calling that button with any suited ace, and A10o imo. these kind of players do weird things. Instantly putting them on a monster everytime they raise/minraise the turn is leaving money on the table.

Re: 50NL is this Baluga?
 

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I like a b/f on this river.

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How much are you betting if your planning on folding whyzze?

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tbh, i didn't look at stack sizes or do any math. I just dont want him shoving Ax because he thinks its a split. Id throw a blocker though for sure.

Re: 50NL is this Baluga?
 

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Adxd?

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this hand isn't in his range ducy?

Re: 50NL is this Baluga?
 

[ QUOTE ]
on the river, all you beat is a bluff.

I like a b/f on this river. You cant profitably call here imo.

as for the turn. Im not folding.

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This player's stats, particularly his aggression factor, do not represent someone who bluffs often. I don't think a b/f fold line is right here, the pot is so big and I dont ever see this player just calling the river after showing strength on the turn (in my experience a min raise post flop is crushing us most of the time). c/c to anything other than a shove.

Re: 50NL is this Baluga?
 

[ QUOTE ]
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Adxd?

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this hand isn't in his range ducy?

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LMAO

i shold read these hand better