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-   -   Time to Gamble? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=524922)

Newbie236 10-17-2007 10:58 AM

Time to Gamble?
 
First off, apologies for the text history. FTR Converter is suddenly not working. Any alternative (or preferable) converter tool suggestions would be appreciated.

This hand occurred in the 2nd hour shortly before the blinds increased to 50/100. Leaders stacks were 10k-12k at the time. Average stack was 3500k-ish.

Stats are only roughly 100 hands but SB is 14/2/0.67 and BB is 14/8/0.33.

Tue801pm20KBounty-009 (No Limit tournament Hold'em)

Blinds 30/60

Hero is UTG with 1730.
Player 1 is UTG+1 with 6610.
Player 2 is MP1 with 8940.
Player 3 is MP2 with 3770.
Player 4 is CO with 7580.
Player 5 is BTN with 3020.
Villain 1 is SB with 2570.
Villain 2 is BB with 1450.

Hero: Ad Qd

Pre-flop:

Hero raises to 180. Folds around to Villain 1 in SB calls 180. Villain 2 in BB goes all-in for 1450...

My thoughts were that Villain 2 is probably not trying to chase us both away with AA, KK or QQ. Most likely he's holding AK or 88-JJ. I've still got 25BB if I fold. But I'm also way behind the leaders. Could also face an overcall from Villain 1. Is this an obvious fold? Or should I be rolling the dice in this spot? At what point do you have to start gambling to accumulate chips and contend when you're card dead? 20BB, 15BB, 10BB?

driverseati 10-17-2007 11:54 AM

Re: Time to Gamble?
 
Easy reshove, there's too much in the pot and AQ is still ahead of his range (66+, AJ+, with ATs discounted 50% I'd probably say).

On the accumulating chips part, you should always be looking for spots to accumulate chips, and not just looking for a spot when you're short.


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