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-   -   NL50 - Check-raise river bluff (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=527024)

Kharlog 10-20-2007 05:15 AM

NL50 - Check-raise river bluff
 
The opponent is mostly unknown. Do you like this play at all? How do you determine whether to do this moves or not? I need to win this pot (7/(7 + 4.5) =) 61% of the time and my opponent need to win (1/(11.5/5 + 1) =) 30% of the time to have a correct call. So basically this is correct only against on a particular situations and against tight players only? What kind of hands would you call against that kind of move without reads?

Ongame converter
SB ($38.05)
Hero ($67.90)

ANTES/BLINDS
SB posts blind ($0.25), Hero posts blind ($0.50).


PRE-FLOP : Hero has Khttp://ms12321.googlepages.com/club.gif 4http://ms12321.googlepages.com/spade.gif
SB calls $0.25, Hero checks.

FLOP: 4http://ms12321.googlepages.com/club.gif 5http://ms12321.googlepages.com/spade.gif 6http://ms12321.googlepages.com/heart.gif
Hero checks, SB bets $1, Hero calls $1.

TURN: 7http://ms12321.googlepages.com/club.gif
Hero checks, SB checks.

RIVER: Qhttp://ms12321.googlepages.com/club.gif
Hero checks, SB bets $2, Hero bets $7, SB calls $5.

opteek 10-20-2007 05:18 AM

Re: NL50 - Check-raise river bluff
 
I dunno, if I was SB, I definitely am not calling the river raise without a hand that beats bottom pair. I would just call the river here.

Msrmek 10-20-2007 05:22 AM

Re: NL50 - Check-raise river bluff
 
Why bluff small pot?

Kharlog 10-20-2007 05:27 AM

Re: NL50 - Check-raise river bluff
 
I'm quite sure calling is usually not correct here because opponent is valuebetting very often in this situation.

BTW that flop call is not a standard for me. I tried something new, usually I'd just lead with bottom pair with no additional outs.

jay_shark 10-20-2007 10:03 AM

Re: NL50 - Check-raise river bluff
 
You're betting $7 in a pot that contain 1 + 2+ 2 = 5
So your bluff needs to be successful 7/12 = 58.33%

I think this is a nice spot to try the check-raise otr . The turn was checked which could mean many things and no player has shown much pre-flop strength .


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