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-   -   $$$ NCAA Saturday Games Thread $$$ (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=515765)

NajdorfDefense 10-04-2007 06:02 PM

$$$ NCAA Saturday Games Thread $$$
 
DrBob seems to be on UGA, GaT, UCLA, Fla, EMich, Mich St, Zona, Nebraska.

Strong Opinion - Rotation #385 Ohio St (-7) Strong Opinion at -7 or less.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #351 Virginia Tech (+5 1/2) Strong Opinion at +5 or more, 2-Star Best Bet at +7 or more.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #349 Colorado (-8 1/2) Strong Opinion at -10 or less. 2-Stars at -7 or less.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #406 Middle Tennessee St (+10 1/2) Strong Opinion at +10 or more, 2-Star Best Bet at +11 or more.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #307 Utah (+14 1/2) Strong Opinion at +14 or more.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #328 Auburn (-7 1/2) Strong Opinion at -9 or less, 2-Star Best Bet at -7 or less (-115 odds or better).
Strong Opinion - Rotation #393 Arizona St (-8) Strong Opinion at -9 or less.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #314 Rutgers (-3 1/2) Strong Opinion at -5 or less, 2-Star Best Bet at -3 or less (-115 odds or better).
Strong Opinion - Rotation #363 Fresno State (+3 1/2) Strong Opinion at +3 or more.

Austiger 10-04-2007 06:06 PM

Re: $$$ NCAA Saturday Games Thread $$$
 
Dr. Bob is betting 6 of the same games as me this week and we're on opposite sides in each one. 1-0 Austiger so far.

NajdorfDefense 10-04-2007 06:08 PM

Re: $$$ NCAA Saturday Games Thread $$$
 
all 1u
Rutgers -3
Kentucky +4
Penn St. -7
Fla +10
UNC +8.5
Utah +15
Kent u57.7/-105

CFB ytd 26-18-1 ATS, 0-1 ML, +10.4u using all dime lines unless otherwise specified.

Nice early line grabs on PSU, RU, Fla and UNC, UK was looking good until Dr Bob moved it to 5, still not many games end on 5.

MyTurn2Raise 10-04-2007 06:11 PM

Re: $$$ NCAA Saturday Games Thread $$$
 
[ QUOTE ]
DrBob seems to be on UGA, GaT, UCLA, Fla, EMich, Mich St, Zona.

[/ QUOTE ]
I swear DrBob is intentionally tanking this year

NajdorfDefense 10-04-2007 06:18 PM

Re: $$$ NCAA Saturday Games Thread $$$
 
Rotation # 361 Georgia (+1) 3-Stars at pick or dog, 2-Stars from -1 to -2.
Rotation #377 Georgia Tech (-2 1/2) 3-Stars at -3 or less, 2-Stars at -3 1/2 or -4.
Rotation #383 Florida (+7 1/2) 3-Stars at +7 1/2 or more, 2-Stars from +7 to +6. [how did this open at 10??]
Rotation #320 Michigan State (-14 1/2) 2-Stars at -16 or less, 3-Stars at -14 or less.
Rotation #371 Arizona (+4) 2-Stars at +3 or more.
Rotation #388 UCLA (-20 1/2) 4-Stars at -21 or less, 3-Stars from -21 1/2 to -24, 2-Stars from -24 1/2 to -26
Rotation #355 Nebraska (+7) 3-Stars at +7 or more, 2-Stars from +6 1/2 to +6.

ksufan19 10-04-2007 06:24 PM

Re: $$$ NCAA Saturday Games Thread $$$
 
[ QUOTE ]

I swear DrBob is intentionally tanking this year

[/ QUOTE ]

lol working for vegas now?

Here's what I have for his record thus far:

4-star 1-2
3-star 5-9-2
2-star 12-16
Strong Opinion 12-14

(note that i count as a separate play for each "i'll take X as a 2 star at X and (same team) as a strong opinion at X")

NajdorfDefense 10-04-2007 06:25 PM

Re: $$$ NCAA Saturday Games Thread $$$
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

I swear DrBob is intentionally tanking this year

[/ QUOTE ]

lol working for vegas now?

Here's what I have for his record thus far:

4-star 1-2
3-star 5-9-2
2-star 12-16
Strong Opinion 12-14


[/ QUOTE ]

No, just posting "I'm taking XYZ" and then betting the other way after it moves 2 pts and blows thru key numbers.

What was his bowl season like last year?

NajdorfDefense 10-04-2007 06:30 PM

Re: $$$ NCAA Saturday Games Thread $$$
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
DrBob seems to be on UGA, GaT, UCLA, Fla, EMich, Mich St, Zona.

[/ QUOTE ]
I swear DrBob is intentionally tanking this year

[/ QUOTE ]

If you did this once every 7-8 years, it wouldn't hurt your win % much but really boost the bankroll. Hmmmm. [Of course he would say he didn't actually bet the games if he were shady or not.]

MyTurn2Raise 10-04-2007 07:05 PM

Re: $$$ NCAA Saturday Games Thread $$$
 
it's more like I have my own numbers and they've aligned with Dr Bob quite a bit over the past few years

This year, my numbers differ with him on nearly every pick...sometimes dramatically

MicroBob 10-04-2007 07:18 PM

Re: $$$ NCAA Saturday Games Thread $$$
 
naj - but would all the lost/ticked-off subscribers or potential future subscribers make up for the EV gain on those games?


NCSt is +17.5 at FSU.
It's supposed to rain this Saturday. Not one of those "might have occasional showers" type of scenarios but a bit more significant precip than that. So I'm thinking about it.

In other news, bought a couple tix for this game.
We're in the 60th row somewhere on the 5 yd line. Woo-hoo!!


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