*** OFFICIAL 11/11/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
 

PHI @ WAS
BUF @ MIA
STL @ NO
MIN @ GB
DEN @ KC
CLE @ PIT
ATL @ CAR
JAC @ TEN

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/11/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
 

3 units on BUF -3 even

Miami is at the point where their home-field advantage is nearly worthless. Even if you give them 3 points for playing at home, which is very generous, that means Buffalo is only a 6-pt fave on a neutral field? Plus we're getting this with no juice? Sign me up.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/11/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
 

BUF -3, NO -12 look like the two good ones, to start.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/11/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
 

[ QUOTE ]
3 units on BUF -3 even

Miami is at the point where their home-field advantage is nearly worthless. Even if you give them 3 points for playing at home, which is very generous, that means Buffalo is only a 6-pt fave on a neutral field? Plus we're getting this with no juice? Sign me up.


[/ QUOTE ]

Some numbers I've run have Buffalo being about 3-3.5 points better than Miami on a neutral field.

Not having Green and Brown hurt, but Chatman showed that the talent dropoff shouldn't be too great. Also, the defense has a lot of veterans on it. I'd like to think they are too proud to just accept an 0-16 season.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/11/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
 

I know I'm not going near PHI @ WAS

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/11/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
 

[ QUOTE ]
I know I'm going to bet huge on PHI @ WAS

[/ QUOTE ]

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/11/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
 

[ QUOTE ]
Some numbers I've run have Buffalo being about 3-3.5 points better than Miami on a neutral field

[/ QUOTE ]

Some power ratings I respect reflect this also.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/11/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
 

I really really really like the NO/StL over (got it at 45, now 45.5 wherever I see it). NO offense has found itself, StL D is one of the worst passing defenses in the league and has lost Little. Plus the Rams O seems to be finding itself as guys are getting healthy. I don't expect the rams to give the Saints nearly as much of a game and while I like the +12, I'm not sure I will actually bet it. But I do think this one will be a high scoring affair.

I'm also anxious to see the Clev @ Pitt line. If it's > 1TD, I may bet it very heavily.

- C -

- C -

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/11/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
 

Could you guys post some lines that are out there? I can't get to any sportsbooks from this computer and I want to try picking games based on the numbers I'm running.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/11/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
 

PHI @ WAS -3
BUF -3 @ MIA
STL @ NO -11.5
MIN @ GB -6
DEN @ KC Not Posted
CLE @ PIT Not Posted
ATL @ CAR -4.5
JAC @ TEN Not Posted

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