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-   -   Statistical Analysis of the NBA (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=509047)

volkin 09-25-2007 01:17 PM

Statistical Analysis of the NBA
 
I'm interested in learning about the subject and would like to know what book(s) would get me up to date.
Thanks in advance

Zach Belden 09-25-2007 01:45 PM

Re: Statistical Analysis of the NBA
 
points per game is the most important

Ralph Wiggum 09-25-2007 07:45 PM

Re: Statistical Analysis of the NBA
 
Any articles by John Hollinger is good.

kidcolin 09-25-2007 07:54 PM

Re: Statistical Analysis of the NBA
 
There's Hollinger.

82games.com

Google apbr metrics.

Dave Berri's Wages of Win blog is pretty good, but his method is hotly debated by statheads. There's a TrueHoop entry detailing some paper that'll be presented soon to debunk his method.

kyleb 09-25-2007 08:10 PM

Re: Statistical Analysis of the NBA
 
I mainly read 82games.com but I'm not all that into it.

tarheeljks 09-25-2007 11:25 PM

Re: Statistical Analysis of the NBA
 
i'm not a huge fan of hollinger's metrics either, particularly the "usage" stat

volkin 09-25-2007 11:57 PM

Re: Statistical Analysis of the NBA
 
Thanks for the info guys. I'll be sure to check out those sites. While looking for Hollinger's books on Amazon I also found the book "Basketball on Paper". Its description seems to indicate that it is what I'm looking for. Any of you read it? If so what did you think?

gehrig 09-26-2007 12:44 AM

Re: Statistical Analysis of the NBA
 
PER seems to be about 90% of what a perfect box score reading stat should be

without going into specifics ive never been that impressed with the basketball stat geeks on the internet. they seem to be doing much worse work than the baseball stat geeks were doing 5-6 years ago, and not just because baseball is more conducive to statistical analysis

Pudge714 09-26-2007 12:46 AM

Re: Statistical Analysis of the NBA
 
Although it is college basketball.
I will be interested in Basketball Prospectus when it gets up and running.

Jack of Arcades 11-24-2007 09:35 AM

Re: Statistical Analysis of the NBA
 
[ QUOTE ]
PER seems to be about 90% of what a perfect box score reading stat should be

without going into specifics ive never been that impressed with the basketball stat geeks on the internet. they seem to be doing much worse work than the baseball stat geeks were doing 5-6 years ago, and not just because baseball is more conducive to statistical analysis

[/ QUOTE ]

The problem is that the statistical analysis of baseball started 60 years ago, when Branch Rickey started evaluating players by OBP and SLG. It picked up steam with Bill James in the late 1970s, and has gone from there.

Basketball didn't really get started until a few years back. They're in the late 1970s.


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