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-   -   NL200 I think I'm a donkey (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=439794)

bottomset 06-30-2007 04:57 PM

NL200 I think I\'m a donkey
 
Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $1/$2 Blinds - 8 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $140.80
BB: $80.00
UTG: $203.00
UTG+1: $198.80
Hero (MP1): $203.00
MP2: $387.35
CO: $87.30
BTN: $300.75

Preflop: Hero is dealt 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (8 Players)
2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $7.00</font>, MP2 folds, CO calls $7.00, 2 folds, BB calls $5.00

Flop: ($22) 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 Players)
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $18.00</font>, CO folds, BB calls $18.00

Turn: ($58) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets all-in for $55.00</font>, Hero calls $55.00

nothing specific for a read unfortunately, it felt like a draw or desperation bluff or a 9 waiting for a safe card

thoughts?

Hklm8383 06-30-2007 05:06 PM

Re: NL200 I think I\'m a donkey
 
if u read soul it can probably be ev plus

the_rookie 06-30-2007 05:15 PM

Re: NL200 I think I\'m a donkey
 
I feel he has a piece on the flop and even a small piece beats you. I guess a draw is possible, if he's getting fed up with being pushed around. But a desperation bluff with nothing, IMO is unlikely.

RyanCMU 06-30-2007 05:18 PM

Re: NL200 I think I\'m a donkey
 
Fold.

He can have lots of hands here that have you beat, randoms 9s, A3, mid pairs, pansy played TT...

And even when he is full of it, he usually has lots of outs against your hand, considering, if he makes it a pair with most likely draws it will also be good.

SABR42 06-30-2007 05:20 PM

Re: NL200 I think I\'m a donkey
 
Meh, I think fold is correct here.

He might have A6 and still be killing you.

Mr_Donktastic 06-30-2007 05:21 PM

Re: NL200 I think I\'m a donkey
 
I think you're a donkey [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

I don't think you are ahead here enough to make the call +ev.

bottomset 06-30-2007 05:24 PM

Re: NL200 I think I\'m a donkey
 
if his bet was say $30 allin would you guys like a call getting 3/1

how about if the turn was the 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] instead of the 3

would you call 55allin?
30allin?

skibbel 06-30-2007 05:26 PM

Re: NL200 I think I\'m a donkey
 
Without reads i'm instant-folding

Mr_Donktastic 06-30-2007 05:27 PM

Re: NL200 I think I\'m a donkey
 
[ QUOTE ]
if his bet was say $30 allin would you guys like a call getting 3/1

[/ QUOTE ]

yes...w/out doing the the math my spidey sense tells me that that would sway it to +ev.

Johnes Benjamin 06-30-2007 07:36 PM

Re: NL200 I think I\'m a donkey
 
Important thing for me is that your hand is so vulnerable there is a fair amount of gamble even if is "way" behind with KQc. Of course this would be good if you knew he had this, but its really more like a best case scenario.

$30 makes it ok, as he is bluffing here a lot. 2d I don't think helps much as 45 is as likely as any floating 3 hand here.


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