UFC 78, TUF 6 Finale, UFC 79
 

UFC 78: - "VALIDATION" NEWARK, NEW JERSEY- $250 8:00 PM 32601 MICHAEL BISPING - - +215
32602 RASHAD EVANS - - -275

UFC 79: - LAS VEGAS - $250 LIMIT -8:00 PM 32551 MATT SERRA - - +280
32552 MATT HUGHES - - -350

8:00 PM 32553 WANDERLEI SILVA - - -120
32554 CHUCK LIDDELL - - -110

These are the early lines. Wanderlei Silva opened @ EV and chuck liddell -130. Just wanted to get a thread started as early as possible... I think it would be really ideal if we as a community tried to set the lines before they come out.

Re: UFC 78, TUF 6 Finale, UFC 79
 

Some of my thoughts...There is no value anywhere on the Bisping-Evans fight.

Same with the Serra-Hughes fight I think. If anything there might be a little bit of value on Serra but I don't see how he could possibly win this fight.

I see tons of value on Wandy. I know his last 2 fights have been rough but he was completely out-classed by Cro Cop who looked amazing. And Hendo was just a terrible match up for him. Plus he was sick with somethin and had a fever(Cant remember his illness).

Rampage was, is, and will always be a bad match up for Chuck so I dont hold that against him. But he should have found a way to beat Jardine. Jardine isn't that great, not to mention he got destroyed by Houston Alexander.

As of now Id only put money on Wandy.

Re: UFC 78, TUF 6 Finale, UFC 79
 

These lines haven't moved any. If Serra gets to +325 I'll place a small bet on him, but that's the only one i might get on here.

Anyone else?

Re: UFC 78, TUF 6 Finale, UFC 79
 

sports interaction has the line @ +350 for Bisping ... imo I think that's a pretty safe bet ... only has to win 2 rounds or hit Evans with a hard punch to win ... safe bet I think

Re: UFC 78, TUF 6 Finale, UFC 79
 

I saw Chuck/Wandy open at -110/-120 and -120/-110 at different sites. I see a lot of value on Wandy at anything under -150ish.

Re: UFC 78, TUF 6 Finale, UFC 79
 

[ QUOTE ]
sports interaction has the line @ +350 for Bisping ... imo I think that's a pretty safe bet ... only has to win 2 rounds or hit Evans with a hard punch to win ... safe bet I think

[/ QUOTE ]

+350 is kind of nuts, but Evans is pretty similar to Hamill, except a better, more complete fighter. Without knowing how either fighter is training or how that training is going, Bisping is a pretty heavy dog.

Re: UFC 78, TUF 6 Finale, UFC 79
 

These lines seem mostly correct for right now. I imagine the Serra/Hughes line will jump around a bit the closer we get to fight time. In wrestling terms, Serra is being cast strongly as the face through the reality show. I have a feeling that a lot of public money is going to come in on Serra so there could be value on Hughes if the line drops below -300 or so.

Re: UFC 78, TUF 6 Finale, UFC 79
 

[ QUOTE ]
sports interaction has the line @ +350 for Bisping ...

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Gotta like Bisping at that price.

What do people think the Houston Alexander line will open at? Although he comes from a great camp, Silva didn't look all that special against Drwal in London - to my mind Alexander is quicker, more powerful and more accurate in his striking. I quite want to get an over/under for the fight at 1 minute!

Re: UFC 78, TUF 6 Finale, UFC 79
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
sports interaction has the line @ +350 for Bisping ...

[/ QUOTE ]

Gotta like Bisping at that price.

What do people think the Houston Alexander line will open at? Although he comes from a great camp, Silva didn't look all that special against Drwal in London - to my mind Alexander is quicker, more powerful and more accurate in his striking. I quite want to get an over/under for the fight at 1 minute!

[/ QUOTE ]


I agree, that's why I'm fairly certain Houston will come in as a favorite for this fight. I'd expect to open between -150 and -200...prob somewhere smack in the middle.

Re: UFC 78, TUF 6 Finale, UFC 79
 

Something like -150/-160 Alexander sounds about right.