NL25: Overpair on horrible board v FPS TAG.
 

Villain is like 25/12/3 and likes everyone to know how clever he is. This can obviously be a wide range of things, but my lonely overpair doesn't have very good implied odds. I feel that I obviously have to push or fold, and I didn't feel very comfortable with my analysis of my chances against what he might have during the time allowed, so I decided to fold. In hindsight, he could be have a bunch of pairs, but he almost certainly has one of the million draws out there. He probably doesn't have a diamond draw (I didn't notice this at the time) and now Im starting to think I should've gone all in here.


Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.10/$0.25 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $30.35
BB: $22.55
UTG: $14.75
MP: $25.00
CO: $50.60
Hero (BTN): $30.75

Preflop: Hero is dealt A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (6 Players)
UTG calls $0.25, MP folds, CO calls $0.25, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1.40</font>, 3 folds, CO calls $1.15

Flop: ($3.40) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
CO checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $3.00</font>, <font color="red">CO raises to $10.75</font>, Hero folds

Re: NL25: Overpair on horrible board v FPS TAG.
 

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

97,601,328 games 0.078 secs 1,251,299,076 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 82.947% 82.76% 00.19% 80773390 183863.50 { AdAs }
Hand 1: 17.053% 16.86% 00.19% 16460211 183863.50 { KJs, QTs-Q9s, JTs, T9s, 8d7d, KJo, QTo, JTo }


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This might be a bit tight of a range, but its not much wider. This is a scary board for him too and I don't think he's raising weak pair hands here. Also, he didn't raise preflop so there's not many pair hands for him to have. Yeah, so definately fold.

Dumle

Re: NL25: Overpair on horrible board v FPS TAG.
 

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

42,570 games 0.016 secs 2,660,625 games/sec

Board: 9d Qc Td
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 29.895% 29.48% 00.41% 12550 176.50 { AdAs }
Hand 1: 70.105% 69.69% 00.41% 29667 176.50 { KJs, QTs-Q9s, JTs, T9s, 8d7d, KJo, QTo, JTo }

Re: NL25: Overpair on horrible board v FPS TAG.
 

good fold. You're hoping to be up against pairs+gutshots. Add in the times he has two pair, etc.

Re: NL25: Overpair on horrible board v FPS TAG.
 

[ QUOTE ]
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

42,570 games 0.016 secs 2,660,625 games/sec

Board: 9d Qc Td
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 29.895% 29.48% 00.41% 12550 176.50 { AdAs }
Hand 1: 70.105% 69.69% 00.41% 29667 176.50 { KJs, QTs-Q9s, JTs, T9s, 8d7d, KJo, QTo, JTo }

[/ QUOTE ]

lol, thank you. Sometimes I'm just too fast for my own good. [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]