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-   -   When they say they are going all in every hand...... (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=395494)

JesseB_11 05-04-2007 01:54 PM

When they say they are going all in every hand......
 
What do you do???
Easydot has moved in the past 3 hands because he said he had to go. Do i gamble here or wait for a better spot?

Full Tilt Poker Game #2343286817: $5,000 Guarantee (17280724), Table 8 - 4000/8000 Ante 1000 - No Limit Hold'em - 14:21:10 ET - 2007/05/03
Seat 6: JesseB_87 (106,814)
Seat 7: BustPros (193,723)
Seat 9: easydot (200,463)
JesseB_87 antes 1,000
BustPros antes 1,000
easydot antes 1,000
BustPros posts the small blind of 4,000
easydot posts the big blind of 8,000
The button is in seat #6
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to JesseB_87 [2d 2c]
JesseB_87????

Mingdu 05-04-2007 01:57 PM

Re: When they say they are going all in every hand......
 
50/50 against any two cards ... I'd wait

jmc999 05-04-2007 01:58 PM

Re: When they say they are going all in every hand......
 
What's the payout structure?
Are you the only 3 players left?

tendog 05-04-2007 01:59 PM

Re: When they say they are going all in every hand......
 
you are likely 50 50 never better but on rare occassions worse. i still call because your getting an overlay if you are 50/50.

by the way is there a simple formula or program for calculating the equity you need to call?

JesseB_11 05-04-2007 02:00 PM

Re: When they say they are going all in every hand......
 
[ QUOTE ]
What's the payout structure?
Are you the only 3 players left?

[/ QUOTE ]

Sorry, ya final 3. First 2000, second around 1300 and third around 1000. The money isn't important, I just want to know whats the best move to give me the best chance to win.

05-04-2007 02:07 PM

Re: When they say they are going all in every hand......
 
I'd rather call with KT than 22, I think, but that's just intuition talking, so I could be wrong.

jmc999 05-04-2007 02:09 PM

Re: When they say they are going all in every hand......
 
http://www.poker-tools-online.com/icm.html

ICM says your starting equity (if you fold) is about $1290

If you push, there is a 50/50 chance you go bust against a random hand:

Assuming the best case where the SB *always* folds and the BB always calls
1/2 * 1000 + 1/2 * equity with doubled stack
equity with doubled stack = $1550

Equity for moving in = 775 + 500 = $1275

Answer: Pick a better spot!

(someone check my work, this is my first try using ICM)


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