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-   -   99 on a mediocre flop late (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=514568)

chuckleslovakian 10-03-2007 07:07 AM

99 on a mediocre flop late
 
Final 2 tables of an 11$ tourney. This is the only other significant hand with the villian. Afterwards he said "oops I thought you had JJ"

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t1200 (8 handed) internettexasholdem.com

MP2 (t55589)
CO (t39440)
Button (t8806)
SB (t8192)
BB (t10403)
Hero (t36002)
UTG+1 (t44036)
MP1 (t36390)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t3600</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP2 calls t3600, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, BB calls t2400.

Flop: (t10475) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t8400</font>, MP2 calls t8400, BB folds.

Turn: (t27275) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t23877 (All-In)</font>, MP2 calls t23877.

River: (t75029) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players, 1 all-in)</font>

Final Pot: t75029

Results in white below: <font color="#FFFFFF">
Hero has Ks Ac (one pair, kings).
MP2 has Qs As (one pair, queens).
Outcome: Hero wins t75029. </font>

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t2000 (7 handed) internettexasholdem.com

CO (t45861)
Button (t24404)
SB (t35340)
BB (t33807)
UTG (t149397)
Hero (t94087)
MP2 (t41610)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t6000</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, CO calls t6000, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>.

Flop: (t13200) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t10000</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises to t39661</font>

Seems like based on the first hand it has to be either top pair or a draw. But is it a draw enough that I have to call? Seems like being this close to the final table make a draw less likely, but I don't know.

Bond18 10-03-2007 07:56 AM

Re: 99 on a mediocre flop late
 
I think you can fold this 99. Given the first hand i believe he has more stationish tendencies and with draws will mostly just call.

Fold, he's got a Q most of the time.

willperkins 10-03-2007 07:57 AM

Re: 99 on a mediocre flop late
 
What would he call you with preflop?

AK, AQ, AJs
77-88
99( unlikely because u have 99)
TT-AA (he would reraise with these wouldn't u think)
66-22 (would he call with a smaller pair?)
KQo (would he call with this?)

Based on the above calling range:

AQ (possible)
AJ of spades (maybe)
88 (possible)
55 (maybe)
bluff (maybe)

U are getting 2.1 to 1 on ur money. I would call.


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