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-   -   HU SNG's - Win Streaks (LC) (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=507922)

Nibster 09-24-2007 12:07 AM

HU SNG\'s - Win Streaks (LC)
 
I'm a NLCash player who's been dabbling in HU SNG's lately. I've been reading as much as I can from the forum and I see a lot of talk about the number of losses you can expect to have in a row. I read that cwar had 17 losses in a row. I was wondering what kind of win streaks everyone has had. Is it possible to win 17 in a row?

dboy23 09-24-2007 12:14 AM

Re: HU SNG\'s - Win Streaks (LC)
 
my record is 20 at the $22s and $33s.

jay_shark 09-24-2007 12:38 AM

Re: HU SNG\'s - Win Streaks (LC)
 
Nibster , everything may be possible .

If there were a heads up tournament with 131 072 participants and only one winner ,then he would have to win 17 in a row to win the event .

If you're a 60% winner , then the probability you win exactly 17 games at some point after playing 1000 games is ~

2*0.0000677 + 981*0.00002708=2.67%

You can see how rare this is . Even if you're a good player , there is only about a 2.67% chance that you will win 17 in a row in the first 1000 games .

After 10000 games and using p=0.6 , the approximate probability is

2*0000677+ 9981*.00002708~27%

Even after 10 000 games , there is only about a 27% chance of winning 17 in a row .

Nibster 09-24-2007 12:45 AM

Re: HU SNG\'s - Win Streaks (LC)
 
Thanks, jay shark. I shouldn't have used the word "possible", I knew it was possible I just didn't know how often it occurred. You're math really helps out. Thanks, again.

HokieGreg 09-24-2007 01:49 AM

Re: HU SNG\'s - Win Streaks (LC)
 
I won 23 10+1's in a row on Party right before the legislation. I was a fish for paying double rake and probably didn't play that well at that time anyways.

My longest win streak since starting to take HU seriously is 16.

The #1 ranked player on the sharkscope leaderboard for hu wins in a row won 27 straight.

I hope I experience a 15+ game winning streak one more time in my poker career.

dboy23 09-24-2007 07:05 AM

Re: HU SNG\'s - Win Streaks (LC)
 
it is soooooooooooooooo awwesome whe n it happens

Gesangsverein 09-24-2007 07:33 AM

Re: HU SNG\'s - Win Streaks (LC)
 
I`m playing Hu sngs for about a month now and won 13 22er in a row one week ago.
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Stealthy 09-24-2007 08:10 AM

Re: HU SNG\'s - Win Streaks (LC)
 
Only played about 22 total of $20 + $30. Won my first 11 and lost 3 total.

xSCWx 09-24-2007 08:13 AM

Re: HU SNG\'s - Win Streaks (LC)
 
Is there a way I can check the most I've won in a row?

PrimordialAA 09-24-2007 09:29 AM

Re: HU SNG\'s - Win Streaks (LC)
 
i've won 15 or so in a row between the 33-110 limit, and i've won like 17/18 a couple of times


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