Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 

LOL Apathy hedged what a nit

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 

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LOL Apathy hedged what a nit

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I wouldnt call that hedging

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 

lol jc tran pwns noobs?

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 

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Ok its almost settle up time on this bets, I thought I would bump this thread with a month left so everyone can sweat the last few big poker series before years end and cheer on their gambles!


I bet on Alan Sass to beat Justin Bonomo in POY points for 5k with Yeti

and I also bet 500 getting 8 to 1 odds against Ahnuld on Bonomo to beat all 5 of last years top POY finishers.

here are the relavant standings:

J.C. Tran Sacramento, CA 4,458 5 $2,364,097


86 Alan Sass Las Vegas, NV 1,740 3 $461,181




144 Justin Bonomo Los Angeles, CA 1,384 4 $551,880

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I bet $5K laying 8:1. I have last year's top five versus ZJ. JC, Nam and the Grinder are all ahead of ZJ, whereas Shannon Shorr and Madsen are behind.

After ZJ posted that he was 4% to win the POY, I put another $25K up against his $1K.

Right now, I'm looking like a lock on both.

It's interesting, though: Shorr is down on poker and may quit entirely per his blog; I don't know where Madsen is mentally, but I get the sense he's a flameout. On the other end of the spectrum, JC and Nam have had really good years, and Mizrachi is close to ZJ.

ZJ also got really really close in a couple of spots. I am sure someone will correct me on the details, but I think ZJ got AIPF with KK against Ike's AA with ten or eleven to go in Aruba and both had a mountain of chips. If that breaks the other way, ZJ is the easy favorite to win. And I think he hit some other harsh cold deck in a similar spot.

I know I've mentioned this before, but ZJ wins props from me for his maturity and reasonableness in dealing with these.

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 

apathy,

i'm pretty sure those POY figures haven't been updated in forever? i gave it a cursory glance a week or so ago and unless i overlooked something sass should have maybe ~2700 points. zj had a few more than it says too, but i believe it's pretty much over unless he gins the bellagio main event.

<blink>I AM YETI THIS POST BROUGHT TO YOU BY YETI
Living, Learning, and Laughing.</blink>

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 

Who wins if we find out that J.C. tran is actually Z.J.'s second account?

We need a scooby-doo photoshop where the mask is removed.

Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 

i'll take advantage of this bump to go ahead and quote my last post, along with ahnuld's commentary.

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wtf EVERYONE is overestimating how good zeejustin actually is and severely underestimating how much luck he must have had during his 2006 run. i would take the against for almost all these bets, if i could.

when el d said "top 10 is pretty much a lock.. so i'll take bets against if im given good odds" or whatever. i had flashbacks to the nickrainey tennis thread.

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you must be new to 2+2, oh wait....

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Re: ZeeJustin 2007 POY & tourney results prop bets thread
 

alpha,

he did cash for over 600k this year in live events without winning a big one!