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-   -   Nov 28th Paid Service Plays (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=556507)

PNBkid 11-28-2007 03:25 PM

Nov 28th Paid Service Plays
 
Burns NBA

UNDER magic/sonics (209 or better)

Game: Orlando Magic vs. Seattle SuperSonics Game Time: 11/28/2007 10:05:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on the Sonics and Magic to finish UNDER the total. I successfully played on the Sonics to finish below yesterday's big number and I feel that tonight's total is too high once again. Note that the Sonics have already seen the UNDER go 3-0 this season when playing a home game with an over/under line of 210 or greater. The Magic, who have seen their road games average 198 points per game, rarely see over/under lines this high. In fact, this is the highest total they have seen all season. Looking back to past seasons and we find the UNDER at a profitable 17-11 the last 28 times that the Magic played a game with an over/under line of 210 or greater. Note that the line was 209 when these teams met at Orlando two weeks ago and they combined for a mere 179 points. That brought the UNDER to a perfect 4-0 the last four series meetings. Those four games averaged just 180.75 points. Looking back a bit further and we find the UNDER at 7-1 the last eight series meetings. Additionally, dating back to last season, the Sonics have seen the UNDER go 10-2 the last 12 times that they played the second of back to back games, including a 3-1 mark so far this season. The last time that the Sonics played the second of back to back games, they managed just 84 points in a 100-84 loss at Charlotte. That game stayed below the total by 15+ points. The last time that they played a home game, after having played the previous night, the Sonics and Grizzlies combined for 203 points, in game that also stayed below the number by 15 points. I'm expecting more of the same tonight. *Blue Chip

PORTLAND (-6 or better)

Game: Indiana Pacers vs. Portland Trail Blazers Game Time: 11/28/2007 10:05:00 PM Prediction: Portland Trail Blazers Reason: I'm laying the points with PORTLAND. I feel that the situation strongly favors the home team. While the Blazers had last night off, the Pacers come off a hard-fought 112-110 win in the high altitude of Denver. While the Pacers did win at New Orleans last week, when playing the second of back to back games, they are still a money-burning 6-13-1 ATS their last 20 times in that situation. This is worse than a typical back to back situation though as the Pacers are also playing their sixth game in the past nine nights. That's a gruelling nine-day stretch for any team and arguably more so for a team that likes to run up and down the floor as much as this year's Pacers squad. Note that even with last night's win, the Pacers are still just 5-15 their last 20 road games. After having consecutive nights off, the Blazers came up short vs. a solid Orlando club on Monday. Despite that loss, they're still a healthy 5-2 at home for the season. Look for the Blazers, 17-8 the last 25 times they played a home game with an over/under line in the 200 to 204.5 range, to have the much fresher legs tonight and for that to result in a convincing win and cover. *Personal Favorite

PNBkid 11-28-2007 03:26 PM

Re: Nov 28th Paid Service Plays
 
Strike Points Sports of Doc's Sports

Seton Hall -7 over Princeton

PNBkid 11-28-2007 03:26 PM

Re: Nov 28th Paid Service Plays
 
CAPPERS ACCESS

(Wed) CBB NC St
(Wed) CBB Penn St

PNBkid 11-28-2007 03:26 PM

Re: Nov 28th Paid Service Plays
 
Game: Indiana Pacers at Portland Trail Blazers
Nov 28 2007 10:05PM

Prediction: Indiana Pacers

Reason: Play On: Indiana Pacers
Note: Pacer take on the Trail Blazers in the Rose Garden knowing they are 7-0 SUATS the last seven games in this series. With Indiana gaining extra value after playing last night in Denver, look for the Pacers to continue their winning ways in this series tonight.

PNBkid 11-28-2007 03:27 PM

Re: Nov 28th Paid Service Plays
 
NBA Selection
Wednesday, November 28th, 2007 10:00 PM EST.
Orlando Magic (13-3) at Seattle SuperSonics (2-13)

The Magic have won and covered the spread in eight of their last nine games on the road. Meanwhile, the struggling SuperSonics have lost all six games at home thus far this season and the last four clashes against the Magic. Go with Orlando. Seattle has dropped five straight, playing awful defense, given up an average 108 points per game and is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games versus Orlando.




Orlando Magic -8.5

PNBkid 11-28-2007 03:27 PM

Re: Nov 28th Paid Service Plays
 
Brandon Lang


20 DIME

St.Louis Billikens

10 DIME

North Carolina

5 DIME

Penn St

Free Pick - NC State

PNBkid 11-28-2007 03:28 PM

Re: Nov 28th Paid Service Plays
 
Larry Ness' 15* Mismatch of the Week-CBB (3-0 start this week / 18-8 TY in CBB!)
My 15* play is on NC-Wilmington at 7:00 ET. Forget Wilmington's seven-win season LY, the Seahawks will ROUT Toledo tonight. The Rockets are a mess without PG Payne (no explanation as to why he hasn't played this year). I've gone against Toledo twice (away from home) in the early going, winning with ODU (66-35) and Rhode Island (83-57). Expect another easy win here, as Toledo is left with only swingman Kent (18.6) and guard Amos (12.8). The team not only suffers on the perimeter without a seasoned PG but the 6-7 Young (7.0-6.4) is Toledo's lone inside presence (if one could call him that?). Wilmington counters with two seniors up front, the 6-9 Hendley (16.2-6.0) and the 6-10 Kuljanin 916.2-9.4), joined by talented 6-7 freshman Lacy (5.8-4.2). The perimeter game is fine as well, with Carter (15.2-4.0-5.0), Fountain (12.0-4.6-3.4) and Tomko (8.4) Expect another 'long' night for the Rockets. CBB Mismatch of the Week 15* NC-Wilmington.[/size]

PNBkid 11-28-2007 03:29 PM

Re: Nov 28th Paid Service Plays
 
Michael Cannon

Wednesday's Plays...

15 Dime –
NORTH CAROLINA

Lay the points with the Tarheels tonight when they travel to take on Ohio State in the ACC/Big Ten challenge.
North Carolina returns just about every key member from last year’s NCAA-tournament team and should really run away with this one.
The Buckeyes lost four starters from last year’s Championship final team and they don’t really have anybody who can match up with Unc’s Tyler Hansbrough in the paint.
North Carolina is on a 12-1 SU run (8-4 ATS) going back to last year, including 9-1 SU away from home. The Tarheels are also on positive ATS runs of 14-3 in non-conference games and 4-1 against the Big Ten.
Ohio State is just 1-4 ATS in its last five against the ACC.

Lay the points as the Tarheels win this one by double-digits.

PNBkid 11-28-2007 03:29 PM

Re: Nov 28th Paid Service Plays
 
amblersWorld

Tip of the Day - November 28, 2007

TIP OF THE DAY

Sport: NBA

Game: 8:30PM, Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks

Prediction: Dallas Maverick
Current Line: -14
Over/Under: 197

Reason: The Minnesota Timberwolves and the Dallas Mavericks will both be trying to pick up a win on Wednesday when they battle at American Airlines Center.

Oddsmakers currently have the Mavericks listed as 14-point favorites versus the Timberwolves, while the game's total is sitting at 197.

The Timberwolves jumped out to an early lead and fought off a late surge to defeat the Hornets 103-94 on Monday, as 11-point underdogs. The combined score made it OVER the posted total of 186.5.
Marko Jaric led the Timberwolves with 20 points, three boards and six
assists from 8-for-12 shooting in the win.

The Mavericks were upset 110-98 by the Wizards last time out, as 12.5-point favorites. The game's combined score fell UNDER the posted total of 208
Dirk Nowitzi had 31 points with eight rebounds and six assists in a losing
effort.

Current streak:
Dallas has lost 3 straight games.

Team records:
Minnesota: 2-10 SU, 5-7 ATS
Dallas: 9-5 SU, 6-8 ATS

Minnesota most recently:

When playing on Wednesday are 4-6
Before playing San Antonio are 6-4
After playing New Orleans are 5-5
After a win are 1-9

Dallas most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 9-1
Before playing Portland are 7-3
After playing Washington are 5-5
After a loss are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Dallas

Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Dallas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Minnesota The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

PNBkid 11-28-2007 03:29 PM

Re: Nov 28th Paid Service Plays
 
NESS HAS BEEN VERY HOT LATELY !!

SAME GOES FOR Spreitzer - the guys going for his 10th straight tonight in the NBA

VSS WENT 10- 1 -2 YESTERDAY

INDIAN COWBOY has hit 13 of last 14 NBA picks !


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