Week 5 NCAAF Early Lines Thread
 

Giddyup!

Re: Week 5 NCAAF Early Lines Thread
 

Kentucky has so many injuries it's hard for me to cap this week's tilt vs. Florida Atlantic. I'd expect it to open around 24, but Kentucky had a ton of injuries (top 3 RB's and top 2 DB's) against Arkansas, and I don't know what to expect for the status of any of those players.

Re: Week 5 NCAAF Early Lines Thread
 

I think there is potential for quite a bit of value on Louisville this week against NC State. I really have no idea what to expect for the spread, but Louisville is not as bad as they showed this week, obviously - a lot of fluky stuff in that game. They are a much better team than NC State. I think there is potential for overreaction here.

Re: Week 5 NCAAF Early Lines Thread
 

Curious about these lines:

WVU (4) @ USF ??
MSU @ Wisconsin (6.5) ??
Cal @ Oregon over/under (64) ??

Re: Week 5 NCAAF Early Lines Thread
 

I'm thinking WVU/USF will probably be WVU -3ish. Wisconsin line looks close to right, maybe -5 or 6. No opinion on the other.

Any guesses on what Louisville will be? -7? -10? ??? I think I could cozy up to them at 7 but I have no idea what to expect. NC State just got outgained 608-202 by Clemson at home. They have a pretty bad resume. Kinda like Syracuse did. [img]/images/graemlins/shocked.gif[/img]

Re: Week 5 NCAAF Early Lines Thread
 

[ QUOTE ]
Kentucky has so many injuries it's hard for me to cap this week's tilt vs. Florida Atlantic. I'd expect it to open around 24, but Kentucky had a ton of injuries (top 3 RB's and top 2 DB's) against Arkansas, and I don't know what to expect for the status of any of those players.

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Arkansas was hitting your backs sooooooooo hard. I didn't think the injuries were serious though?

Re: Week 5 NCAAF Early Lines Thread
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Kentucky has so many injuries it's hard for me to cap this week's tilt vs. Florida Atlantic. I'd expect it to open around 24, but Kentucky had a ton of injuries (top 3 RB's and top 2 DB's) against Arkansas, and I don't know what to expect for the status of any of those players.

[/ QUOTE ]

Arkansas was hitting your backs sooooooooo hard. I didn't think the injuries were serious though?

[/ QUOTE ]

They probably aren't but the problem is there aren't even any published post-game quotes from Brooks. I don't have anything to go on really. Alfonso Smith's (3rd-string), looked like the worst, pretty bad ankle sprain. I would expect Little and Dixon play. Lindley (#1 CB) looked ok after the game, don't know about Warford. If both were out, we could be comically thin there and that could be damaging.
There's just a lot of uncertainty.

Re: Week 5 NCAAF Early Lines Thread
 

We will also be entering a short week next week, with South Carolina coming up on Thursday night, and especially with how effective Locke was, I would expect Brooks to be very careful with the other backs and other banged up players in general. Keenan Burton has been playing with a sprained ankle as well, although you wouldn't know it from seeing him kill Arkansas.

Re: Week 5 NCAAF Early Lines Thread
 

Mississippi State @ South Carolina -13.5?

Re: Week 5 NCAAF Early Lines Thread
 

Here are some guesses on the high profile games:

Cal at Oregon -2 (fair line -4.5)
West Virginia -4 at South Florida (fair line -2.5)
Michigan State at Wisconsin -4.5 (fair line -4)
Clemson -7 at Georgia Tech (fair line -7)
Alabama -2.5 at Florida State (fair line no idea)