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-   -   blind steal picks up outs on turn, whats my plan!? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=454129)

danny8 07-18-2007 10:22 AM

blind steal picks up outs on turn, whats my plan!?
 
Cryptologic - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.25/$0.50 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

Hero (SB): $49.50
BB: $27.75
UTG: $13.95
CO: $51.25
BTN: $68.45

Reads: <font color="blue">villains 27/11/7 (~400) i know its pretty bad but i dont actually have any notes on him... he seems fairly quiet, seen him get aipf w/ KK - played it standardly, thats about it (that was another session though)

ive been stealing a fair amount (was sat in a diff seat htough so not been stealing his blinds yet) havnt really done anything to note!</font>

Preflop: Hero is dealt A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (5 Players)
3 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $2.00</font>, BB calls $1.50

Flop: ($4) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $3.00</font>, BB calls $3.00

Turn: ($10) 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero...


whats my plan here? i can see him floating w/ a pp, maybe a pair or draw, mybe just OCs, i dunno.

whats the most +ev line here? advantages of c/c, c/r and b/c... or even b/f? note villains stack: he only has ~$23 left. Also whats your plan if hes full stacked?

thanks!

danny8 07-18-2007 12:51 PM

Re: blind steal picks up outs on turn, whats my plan!?
 
anyone? I have no idea what to do... i think im prolly a decent dog to his range but im not sure how much FE i have, i'd imagine he'd fold his ui pp's except maybe 55.

should i just c/c a small bet - folding river ui... or c/f the turn to anything but a tiny bet?

ajmargarine 07-18-2007 01:02 PM

Re: blind steal picks up outs on turn, whats my plan!?
 
What would you do with AA? Play it like you got AA IMO.

blackize 07-18-2007 01:04 PM

Re: blind steal picks up outs on turn, whats my plan!?
 
Bet. People like floating when they think you're on a steal and now you've got overs, a gutshot, and a flush draw. You've got a good deal of FE with a bet, and can even call a small raise.

Fiksdal 07-18-2007 01:09 PM

Re: blind steal picks up outs on turn, whats my plan!?
 
If he is likely to be floating, then I find CRAI really sexy here.

Can't do it without a read though.

monkover 07-18-2007 01:28 PM

Re: blind steal picks up outs on turn, whats my plan!?
 
you just have to estimate you fe. if he´s likely to float as fiskdal said a c/rai is really hot.


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