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-   -   $6.50: AJo w/ microstack & another microstack (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=442766)

justatrey 07-04-2007 12:04 PM

$6.50: AJo w/ microstack & another microstack
 
Running this through SNGPT w/ BB calling 100% gives +.2%. Do we take it or let other shorty hit blinds next hand?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (4 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

UTG (t490)
Button (t7630)
Hero (t670)
BB (t4710)

Preflop: Hero is SB with J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>.

Hero?

Pocketbear 07-04-2007 12:08 PM

Re: $6.50: AJo w/ microstack & another microstack
 
I would instapush. The hand is just too good and there is no guarantee that the shorty will bust while in the blinds.
Also, I don't think BB is calling with 100%, especially at $6.50.

santiagoz 07-04-2007 12:28 PM

Re: $6.50: AJo w/ microstack & another microstack
 
Push. Because the shorty can double up in the blinds and then you will be bubble

justatrey 07-04-2007 12:29 PM

Re: $6.50: AJo w/ microstack & another microstack
 
I agree it's not automatically 100% at a 6.50 but BB was a loose caller, so I'm pretty sure he's at or near 100%.

I guess the question is if anyone thinks its more +EV than the +.2% I can take here to let other shorty go through the blinds.

allhappythoughts 07-04-2007 01:23 PM

Re: $6.50: AJo w/ microstack & another microstack
 
Shove. I've been in situations like this before, and it tends to end bad when you let hands go like this. Other shorty will probably double up with some trash hand, and you won't find anything better to shove with after this hand. Tough call, but I prefer the aggressive approach.

TruFloridaGator 07-04-2007 01:27 PM

Re: $6.50: AJo w/ microstack & another microstack
 
If you fold you either bubble or get 3rd almost always, so more reason to shove. No reason to throw away an edge here either.

Shillx 07-04-2007 01:35 PM

Re: $6.50: AJo w/ microstack & another microstack
 
Fold not close (assuming he always calls). If he calls 50% of the time (+1.2%) then yeah you gotta go with it imo.

justatrey 07-04-2007 02:44 PM

Re: $6.50: AJo w/ microstack & another microstack
 
[ QUOTE ]
Fold not close (assuming he always calls). If he calls 50% of the time (+1.2%) then yeah you gotta go with it imo.

[/ QUOTE ]

Not close because it's more clearly +EV to let shortstack hit the blinds, right? No way to assign a value to letting this happen, but I'm thinking its more than +.2%.

BTW I'm still assuming BB calls 100% for simplicity. The main question is whether or not we should pass up on a slightly +EV spot here or not.

Shillx 07-04-2007 07:11 PM

Re: $6.50: AJo w/ microstack & another microstack
 
It isn't even +EV if he always calls. It is -0.4%.


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