Week 11 NFL player props thread
 

Something is amiss, as I am betting overs only so far today. Writeups are short because I have to go run errands in a bit.

Mark Clayton over 3.5 pass receptions at -120 for 1 unit (Bodog). His targets have increased a lot recently, and Boller has an arm that is more compatible with his patterns. Plus, Boller doesn't favor Mason like McNair did.

Philip Rivers over 175.5 passing yards at -115 for 1 unit (Bodog). He screwed me over last week and may be becoming Rex Grossman 2.0, but this line is a complete overreaction to his recent struggles. At least 20 yards too low. Plus, the Jaguars are not as dominant against the pass as they used to be.

Marty Booker over 3 pass receptions at -105 for 1 unit (Bodog). I don't care if Beck has no experience, he is Miami's only established and most targeted receiver. Plus, if the Dolphins are playing catchup, they'll be throwing to him a ton in the second half.

Possibly more bets later as Bodog continues to add props if I get home in time.

YTD: 27-19, +6.78 units

Re: Week 11 NFL player props thread
 

the rivers prop is already gone :/

Re: Week 11 NFL player props thread
 

Totally agree with you Bob. Hope it's not the kiss of death. 1 addition:

L.T. o4 Rec(+105) Should catch 4 at least for the push, then pray.

Re: Week 11 NFL player props thread
 

weren't these props max bet $100 earlier in the season?

i see max $500 now

Re: Week 11 NFL player props thread
 

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weren't these props max bet $100 earlier in the season?

i see max $500 now

[/ QUOTE ]

They've gone from $300 to $500 for me fwiw.

Re: Week 11 NFL player props thread
 

$500 for me, too. Not that my betting units are anywhere near that.

I found one more...and it's an over.

J.P. Losman over 16 pass completions at -105 for 1 unit (Bodog). Assuming Marshawn Lynch is out, the Bills have no choice but to throw, and I think that may mean lots of "run like" short passes. My projections already had Losman at 18 or 19 completions anyway. The Patriots have kept only one team under 16 completions this year (though it was against the Bills). Lee Evans over 4.5 receptions is sorta juicy too IMO, but I'm gonna pass because he's really their only weapon and the Pats may try to double-team him.

Good luck to everyone.

Re: Week 11 NFL player props thread
 

[ QUOTE ]

Marty Booker over 3 pass receptions at -105 for 1 unit (Bodog). I don't care if Beck has no experience, he is Miami's only established and most targeted receiver.

[/ QUOTE ]

chris chambers isn't established?

Re: Week 11 NFL player props thread
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

Marty Booker over 3 pass receptions at -105 for 1 unit (Bodog). I don't care if Beck has no experience, he is Miami's only established and most targeted receiver.

[/ QUOTE ]

chris chambers isn't established?

[/ QUOTE ]

Wow.

http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/teams/roster?team=mia

Re: Week 11 NFL player props thread
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

Marty Booker over 3 pass receptions at -105 for 1 unit (Bodog). I don't care if Beck has no experience, he is Miami's only established and most targeted receiver.

[/ QUOTE ]

chris chambers isn't established?

[/ QUOTE ]
Traded to SD a few weeks ago.

Re: Week 11 NFL player props thread
 

GL on these. I made 3 small plays on Partybets.

E Manning > pass yds than Kitna +105 - hopefully Kitna doesnt complete a lot of passes laying on his back

Rivers>Garrard -105 - I expect Jax to run, run & run some more.

Brady>Losman -130

Why not? Makes the games more fun to watch.