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-   -   NL 50 AK odd spot (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=496674)

Babalatexi 09-08-2007 07:48 PM

NL 50 AK odd spot
 
No real reads on villain except that he's too loose (40+/20/x) and pretty bad. CO is a maniac/moron who's donated a lot to the table. The re-raise is so small I feel he's committed with 99-QQ even if an A or a K hits, hence I just called and didn't push/fold. On the flop I have 4-10 outs, I'm guessing more likely 7-10. My pot odds on the flop are 57.42/24.72=2.33:1 so I need to win this pot about 30% of the time for a call to be EV 0. This means that he has to have QQ or a worse pair/AK/AK/air here pretty often instead of TT/JJ/KK/AA. After my check I believe he pushes most hands here, everyone still folding on the flop? What about pf, anyone folding there (I hate a push pf against a fairly bad player like villain was)?


B2B No Limit Hold'em Cashgame
Blinds: €0,25 / €0,50
Players: 6

UTG (€8,57)
MP - Villain (€40,12)
CO (€52,44)
Button (€28,82)
SB - Hero (€222,56)
BB (€66,48)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Villain raises to €1,40</font>, CO calls €1,40, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to €6,75</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Villain raises to €14,00</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls €8,40

Flop: (€32,70) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Villain goes all-in for €24,72</font>

This range might be a bit too loose, dunno.

Board: Tc Js 6c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 46.948% 36.87% 10.08% 16425 4490.50 { AdKc }
Hand 1: 53.052% 42.97% 10.08% 19144 4490.50 { 99+, AQs+, AQo+ }

Tighter, my equity drops without the AK a lot, of course:

Board: Tc Js 6c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 32.955% 16.95% 16.00% 4531 4278.00 { AdKc }
Hand 1: 67.045% 51.04% 16.00% 13643 4278.00 { TT+, AKs, AKo }

Hail Eris 09-08-2007 07:50 PM

Re: NL 50 AK odd spot
 
Push or fold preflop.

vixticator 09-08-2007 07:50 PM

Re: NL 50 AK odd spot
 
40/20+bad... why didn't you get it in PF?

Babalatexi 09-08-2007 07:59 PM

Re: NL 50 AK odd spot
 
I didn't push pf because I thought I could get away if I didn't hit the flop but more importantly I believed villain was committed anyway, giving me his stack if I did hit. Not sure if this was spew or not, was watching football at the same time (bad) so my concentration wasn't at its sharpest, but at the time it felt like a good move.


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