Saturday NCAAF
 

guess it's time to move from the early lines thread to this one

gogogogogogogo

POTW: FSU/V Tech o39.5 bet 3.3u to win 3u

I have this nuetral ev at 42.5 [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]


6-4 POTW ytd....25-14 POTW 2p2 history

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

no expert, but i like that pick. weatherford played really well last week (i think it was last week).....

i like AF -3.5 vs. ND..... i like rutgers -19.5 vs. army (friday though, not saturday)

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

UL/WVU Under 65.5 LOSS
WVU -15 LOSS
BYU -7 LOSS
TCU 2H +3 WIN
S Carolina +7.5
Michigan -2.5
Air Force -2.5
Kentucky -3 (2 units)
Michigan/Wisconsin Over 46.5
NMSU/SJSU Over 57.5
Illinois/OSU Over 45
AU/UGA Over 44
UConn +6.5 -102
NMSU +4
Cal +4
ASU -6.5

WVU -796 risking .5u WIN
Duke +550 risking 1u
Uconn +230 to win 2u

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

I'm on Uconn +210 @ bodog.
withdrew my roll from sia, looking to gamboool it up a bit on this one here. gogogo

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

auburn +2
michigan -3
follow myturn on o/40 fsu/vtu...

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

Man I sure hate my bets this weekend. I feel like I lost my mind with all the road favorite stuff I did and put a few teasers in. I look at my bets and feel sick.

This is what I took this week so far:

Air Force to win 3 units | 2 @ -2.5 -110 and 1 @ -3 -105
+to win 10 units on middle -2.5/+3.5

Teaser at even Money
Clemson -2 for Game
Arizona State -1 for Game
1u to win 1u

Teaser at even Money
Arizona State Spread -0.5
Florida Spread -0.5
1u to win 1u

KENTUCKY-3
1.05u to win 1u

South Florida Money line
risk 5u to win 1u
(This was because a friend bet Syracuse ML and I did not key it all for him- deciding to keep a unit for myself at good line)

Played the middle on Michigan -2.5 -105 / Wisconsin +3 -105
0.5 units to win 10 units

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

wow, everyone around here is on air force.... hopefully, joe public is on ND....

any ideas on illinois/OSU?? especially MTR?.... heart says illinois. head says OSU. both ATS.....

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

CONN +6.5 (-102) @ cinci 1.53u to win 1.5u
ECU -7 (-102) @ marshall 1.02u/1.0u
VIRGINIA +3.5 (-102) @ miami fl 1.02/1.0u
la lafayette @ M TENN ST -13.5 (-105) 1.575u/1.5u
MEMPHIS +17 (-110) @ s miss 1.1u/1.0u

YTD: 17-21 -7.315u

Last week was brutal. I was 1-7 and lost just under 8 units.

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

I've actually got enough money online to make some real bets this week. Got a free $50 on Bodog and ran it up to $1000 playing PLO so I've got 10 "units" to work with. Here's what I've got on the morning/afternoon schedule:

Air Force -3.5 at Notre Dame (Risk 2.5u to win 2.28u)
Arkansas -1 at Tennessee (Risk 1.5u to win 1.36u)
Arizona State at UCLA +230 (Risk 1u to win 2.3u)
Florida State at Virginia Tech over 40 (Risk 1u to win 0.91u)
Georgia Tech at Duke +14 (Risk 1.5u to win 1.36u)

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

Wake +9 at Clemson (risk 1.1u to win 1u)
Virginia at Miami - 3.5 (risk 1.1u to win 1u)
Air Force - 2.5 at Notre Dame (risk 3.3u to win 3u)
Arizona State -7 at UCLA (risk 2.1u to win 2u)
Auburn +120 at Georgia (risk 2u to win 2.4u)
Stanford at Washington State - 10.5 (risk 2.2u to win 2u)
Texas A&M +19.5 at Missouri (risk 2.2u to win 2u)
Michigan -2.5 at Wisconsin (risk 2.2u to win 2u)

I had a killer week last week after a few breakevens and a rough mid-season. The trend probably turns downward this week, we'll see. I feel really good about the Wazzu pick (their home field advantage is quite nice, Pullman is very cold in November). Also, I think Auburn should perform nicely, and Arizona State should put their Oregon loss behind them with a solid performance against UCLA.

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

CMU -2.5 1u WIN
Arkon +3 1u WIN
Arkon +130 1u WIN

Houston to win 3u
Aub +117 1u
NoIll +148 1u
SoFla -16 2u
Minn +14.5 1u
Ala -4.5 1u
Ark to win 2u
AF -3.5 2u
Col -4.5 1u
ECU -7 2u
UTEP -4.5 1u
UCF -21 1u
Kansas -6 1u
Okla -38 1u
UVA +152 1u
Stanford +11 1u
Stanford +378 2u
TT +224 1u

Houston is the POTW. Stanford a close second. I feel better about ECU than my numbers do. I'd be happier with more money on ECU.

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

Kentucky -3, 2u
Air Force -2.5, 1u
Connecticut +6.5, 1u
Mississippi State +5, 1u
Virginia +150 ML, 1u

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

Propplayer- I can't believe you're betting college teasers and didn't tease the Auburn game. If there was ever a college game to tease it would be that one. I'm even considering it myself and I've never bet a college teaser.

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

Indiana -1.5 2 Units
Kentucky -3.5 2 Units
Connecticut +5.5 1 Unit
Minnesota +14.5 1 Unit
Michigan -2.5 1 Unit
FSU +6 1 Unit
UNC +3.5 3 Units
Fresno St +17 1 Unit
FAU -7 1 Unit
S. Carolina +7.5 2 Units
Virginia/Miami Under 41.5 1 Uni
Air Force/Notre Dame Over 43.5 1 Unit
Houston/Tulsa Under 77.5 1 Unit
Georgia/Auburn Over 44.5 1 Unit
S. Carolina/Florida Under 59.5 1 Unit
Navy/N. Texas Under 73.5 1 Unit

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

I got Bama on the moneyline against MSU. True that MSU beat Bama at home last year, but this is a different Bama coached team that has more experience on offense. After seeing how they destroyed Tenn. and hanged with LSU I expect them to win this one. Only concern however is being banged up from playing LSU. Either way I feel very confident in this bet. It's not like MSU is gonna have some crazy home field advantage either. I've met a few students who go to MSU. They say they usually just show up get drunk, laugh, hope they keep it close, but leave in the 3rd quarter. I don't expect the home field advantage to play that much of a part in this game. I like Bama on the moneyline but not as much in the spread. BTW I'm not even a Bama fan in case anybody felt I had ties to Bama from my post. UNC baby.

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

I like Bama in this game as well. However, Saban has been known to blow games against overmatched opponents in the past and you have a MSU team that had a week off and a coach who has something to prove every time his team lines up against the Tide. I'm only putting a half unit on the Tide. BTW, I'm an Auburn guy, so you know I have no love for the Tide.

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

True, but Saban also has a huge ego. I don't think he will allow two losses in a row. Sylvester Croom might be out to prove something, but I think he's outmanded and and outcoached in this one. This probably has has nothing to do with the game but LSU beat MSU 45-0. LSU beat Bama 41-34. See the talent gap between the two teams. I don't think Saban allows a let down in this game.

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

1st week games are not a great indicator or a team's actual talent. MSU has improved greatly since that game.

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

Adding...

Auburn +2
FSU +7 -115
GT +14 -115
FSU/VT over 40

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

Syracuse +18.5

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

Adding...

Auburn 1H +1

Gameday just pointed out that Auburn is the only team to lead at halftime in every game this year. Auburn's troubles have been in the third quarter building on their leads. Halftime scores: @ UF 14-0, @ ARK 3-0, @ LSU 17-7.

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

My entire slate:

Army/Rutgers U48 WIN
Virginia +3.5
Miss State +4.5
Georgia PK
Fresno St +16.5
Wake Forest +8
UConn +5
Okie State +5.5
Air Force/ND U43.5
COlo St/New Mex O50.5
Houston/Tulsa U77
Boise St/Utah St U62.5
Alabama/Ole Miss O50.5
K State/Nebraska U65
Kent/NIU U48.5
ECU/Marshall U65.5
Memphis/S. Miss U57
TT/Texas U65
Baylor/Oklahoma O56
UNC/NC State O43.5
Kansas/Okie State U67
UTEP/Tulane U72
La Tech/LSU U54
Fresno/Hawaii U73

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

early saturday

Northwestern ML +125 v Indiana bet 2u to win 2.5u

Wake Forest +9 @ Clemson bet 1u to win 1u
Penn St -25.5 @ Temple bet 1.05u to win 1u
Colorado -4 @ Iowa St bet 1.02u to win 1u
Michigan -3 @ Wisconsin bet 2.6u to win 2.5u


IU/N'western o61.5 bet 1.05u to win 1u
MSU/Purdue o58.5 bet 1.02u to win 1u
Penn St/Temple o46.5 bet 1.03u to win 1u
USF/Syracuse u50.5 bet 2.04u to win 2u
Michigan/Wisconsin u47 bet 1.05u to win 1u
Minny/Iowa o49 bet 1.04u to win 1u

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

Here's me:

Air Force -1.5 1H 3u
Florida St +7 1u
Auburn +2 1u
Illinois +15.5 1u

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

Houston ML +103 @ Tulsa bet 1u to win 1.03u
Tennessee ML +102 v Arkansas bet 2u to win 2.04u

Colorado St +9 @ New Mexico bet 1.03u to win 1u
SMU -6.5 v Rice bet 1.1u to win 1u
Arizona St -7 @ UCLA bet 3.15u to win 3u
Illinois +15.5 @ Ohio State bet 1.03u to win 1u
NIU +3.5 v Kent bet 1.08u to win 1u
Oklahoma St +5 v Kansas bet 1.02u to win 1u
UTEP -4 @ Tulane bet 1.05u to win 1u
UAB +21 v UCF bet 1.03u to win 1u
USC -4 @ Cal bet 1.1u to win 1u
Oregon St -5 v Washington bet 1.06u to win 1u

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

Auburn/Georgia o44.5 bet 2.04u to win 2u
Texas A&M/Mizzou u61.5 bet 1.03u to win 1u
Illinois/Ohio St o46 bet 1.05u to win 1u
T Tech/Texas o64.5 bet 1.05u to win 1u
Kansas/Okie St u67 bet 1.09u to win 1u
Fresno St/Hawai'i o72 bet 1.05u to win 1u

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

Michigan -.5 2nd Half 1 Unit
Michigan/Wisconsin Over 23.5 2nd Half 1 Unit

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

MyTurn, you bet a lot of games, whats your record and units won/lost?

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

UNC +.5 -105 2nd Half 1 Unit
Wake Forest +3 2nd Half 1 Unit

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

Arkansas/Tennessee Over 28.5 2nd Half 1 Unit

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

[ QUOTE ]
MyTurn, you bet a lot of games, whats your record and units won/lost?

[/ QUOTE ]

this year, I'm break-even over 750 units bet---hooray for bonus whoring

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

Notre Dame +4 2 Units

Edit to add: Notre Dame ML +160 1 Unit

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

UCONN +7 2 Units
UCLA +7 -105 1 Unit
FSU +7 2 Units
FSU/Virginia Tech Over 39.5 2 Units

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

New Mexico St +5 1 Unit

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

[ QUOTE ]
True, but Saban also has a huge ego. I don't think he will allow two losses in a row.

[/ QUOTE ]

Keep drinking that koolaid guys. Not trying to pick on you b/c others have made the same analysis this week, but... Over - Rated.

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

anyone else having a tough saturday.... at least AF over ND looks good.

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

Notre Dame +0.5 2nd Half 1 Unit

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

[ QUOTE ]
anyone else having a tough saturday.... at least AF over ND looks good.


[/ QUOTE ]

I think I'm like 1-11 so far ATS, just rediculous.

My only win so far today was from my worthless Gophers.

I pretty much need to run the table to get to even for the day.

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

WTF is going on with UConn

Re: Saturday NCAAF
 

[ QUOTE ]
My only win so far today was from my worthless Gophers.


[/ QUOTE ]

that's one of my losses. basically was a bet against minnesota (didn't think too hard about iowa having a disappointing season)... why did the gophers get rid of mason? could have been the dumbest thing i've seen (i'd say anywhere in sports)

BTW, who suggested houston over tulsa?? big yuck!!!