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-   -   2-7 TD Odds Calculator (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=495546)

BigRounder9 09-07-2007 03:49 AM

2-7 TD Odds Calculator
 
I've been searching the net for a deuce to seven triple draw odds calculator, but haven't found one sofar.

Does anyone know where to find one?

tx4allthefish 09-07-2007 04:01 AM

Re: 2-7 TD Odds Calculator
 
[ QUOTE ]
Does anyone know where to find one?

[/ QUOTE ]

TwoDimes will do simple match ups.

Tx.

BigRounder9 09-07-2007 04:26 AM

Re: 2-7 TD Odds Calculator
 
Yeah, I know about that one, but that's for single draw lowball, not triple draw.

tx4allthefish 09-07-2007 04:33 AM

Re: 2-7 TD Odds Calculator
 
Right, but that is a much more complex problem since there needs to
be some logic to what the players do on the draw. You want a real
2-7TD simulator rather than hot/cold odds.

I havent seen anything like this - like a Wilson Turbo 2-7TD.
Would be cool though.

BigRounder9 09-07-2007 04:52 AM

Re: 2-7 TD Odds Calculator
 
Yeah, that's what I'm looking for.

Basically I'd like to know how a pat ten would fare againts an opponent drawing three etc.

tx4allthefish 09-07-2007 05:35 AM

Re: 2-7 TD Odds Calculator
 
[ QUOTE ]
Basically I'd like to know how a pat ten would fare againts an opponent drawing three etc.

[/ QUOTE ]

If you ignore betting - or assume you are allin predraw - you can
probably do it with pen and paper. I might have a go at this later
- it's bound to be harder than I think [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]

BigRounder9 09-07-2007 05:50 AM

Re: 2-7 TD Odds Calculator
 
[ QUOTE ]
If you ignore betting - or assume you are allin predraw - you can
probably do it with pen and paper. I might have a go at this later
- it's bound to be harder than I think [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

Trust me, it is! [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

tx4allthefish 09-07-2007 12:13 PM

Re: 2-7 TD Odds Calculator
 
I did a slightly easier one which is a pat T5432 against an opponent drawing 2 to 732. With "a bit of approximation" I think the 732 will make a 9 or better 60% of the time.

It is already quite messy and drawing 3 makes it worse.

I'm intrigued if it is even close as it just took a couple of 2dimes results and combining the results to approximate 3 drawing rounds.

Tx.

MarkGritter 09-07-2007 12:23 PM

Re: 2-7 TD Odds Calculator
 
I have a tool which can do pat vs. draw matchups pretty easily.

732KK, drawing to the 9, with T5432 dead, makes:
76532 or better 15% of the time
87632 or better 34% of the time
98732 or better 60% of the time
in three draws.

If we give the opponent T6542 instead:
76532 or better 13%
87632 or better 31%
98732 or better 56%

tx4allthefish 09-07-2007 01:34 PM

Re: 2-7 TD Odds Calculator
 
[ QUOTE ]
I have a tool which can do pat vs. draw matchups pretty easily.


[/ QUOTE ]

Nice - is it available somewhere? - I did look on lowballgurus.com
but I could only see a 1 round model. I'm sure you might want to keep
it private as that's a reasonable amount of work.

[ QUOTE ]

732KK, drawing to the 9, with T5432 dead, makes:
98732 or better 60% of the time in three draws.


[/ QUOTE ]

OK, so I got that bit right, but it's a pain to do
it for every case.

[ QUOTE ]

If we give the opponent T6542 instead:
98732 or better 56%

[/ QUOTE ]

It's interesting that making opp's hand a bit worse
makes it harder to draw out on, but I guess it's just
that they have one of our outs now and one more pairing
card is in the deck.

Thanks.


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