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-   -   Badugi Dilemma (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=534582)

BBQbowser 11-01-2007 06:38 AM

Re: Badugi Dilemma
 
Reminds me a little of the concept of breaking a boat in Draw.

Tilt_Monkey 11-01-2007 12:36 PM

Re: Badugi Dilemma
 
[ QUOTE ]
In 29 of them his Badugi beats yours. (Total=90, good)

[/ QUOTE ]
I came up with 39 here - assuming that your opponent has
267 and you are both drawing to the same suit.

MarkGritter 11-01-2007 01:00 PM

Re: Badugi Dilemma
 
Let's see... I was assuming different suits.

His badugi / your badugis that lose / running total
762A 89TJK 5
7632 89TJK 10
7642 89TJK 15
7652 89TJK 20
8762 9TJK 24
9762 TJK 27
T762 JK 29
J762 K 30
Q762 K 31
K762 none

Oops, now I ended up with 31. I don't see how to get to 39?

Phat Mack 11-01-2007 01:19 PM

Re: Badugi Dilemma
 
[ QUOTE ]
I don't see how to get to 39?

[/ QUOTE ]

Maybe you were counting the Q.

Tilt_Monkey 11-01-2007 01:52 PM

Re: Badugi Dilemma
 
[ QUOTE ]
Maybe you were counting the Q.

[/ QUOTE ]
Yes, I forgot about the Q. Duh.
Also if they were both drawing to the same suit they would both have 9 outs and the number in question would be 30
(Your last line: Q762 K 31 will be ommited)
Sorry for the confusion.

Tilt_Monkey 11-01-2007 02:56 PM

Re: Badugi Dilemma
 
[ QUOTE ]
In 9*(43-10)=297 you make another Badugi but he doesn't
In 10*(43-9)=340 he makes a Badugi and you do not
The remaining 1165 cases you win with the best 3-card hand. (Check: does this make sense? (44-9)*(43-10) = 1155, close enough... there are 10 cases missing somewhere.)

[/ QUOTE ]

I could be thinking wrong about this, but I think that this ought to be:

9(44-10)=306 (44 cards in the deck - 10 cards that will give a badugi to the villain)
10(43-9)340

So you have 1892-90-306-340=1156

And then (44-10)*(43-9)=1156

I don't think this would make much difference in the overall conclussions though.


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