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-   -   another useless hypo (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=510437)

pete fabrizio 09-27-2007 04:56 AM

another useless hypo
 
i would probably rather have 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] than 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], but I would clearly rather have A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] than A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. assuming a gradient, around what rank does this switch occur? would i be wrong to assume a gradient? could i be wrong about which low run to prefer in the first place?

Ribbo 09-27-2007 05:18 AM

Re: another useless hypo
 
I'd rather have both than the crap I get dealt

TimberBee 09-27-2007 08:06 AM

Re: another useless hypo
 
[ QUOTE ]
I'd rather have both than the crap I get dealt

[/ QUOTE ]
QFMFT

Elrazor 09-27-2007 09:58 AM

Re: another useless hypo
 
i think this only makes any significant difference when you get to AKQJ as you dont want the A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] and K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] for obvious reasons

Buzz 09-27-2007 04:33 PM

Re: another useless hypo
 
Pete – Interesting question. Useless, in a way, but interesting. And sometimes when you pursue useless questions you discover something related that you didn't know but that might be useful.

For example, the double suited run-downs do more poorly, heads up, than random cards until you get up to 9876, and that hand does only slightly better than random.

Here are some simulated showdown results for heads-up play against random (four blanks) cards for one opponent. These are for 1,000,000 run simulations.

7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
heart flush 109561/135705
straight flush 4506/4513
flush+st.flush 114067/140218 = 0.8135
overall: 463776 wins, 14629 ties
(four blanks did better: 521595 wins, 14629 ties.)

7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
heart flush 110848/137015
straight flush 3370/3371
flush+st.flush 114218/140386 = 0.8136
overall: 463498 wins, 14806 ties
(four blanks did better: 521696 wins, 14806 ties.)

Very, very close between these two. I don't want either of them. The win/try ratio for flushes and straight flushes is very slightly better for the second, but the first one makes slightly more straight flushes. (Should be, and is, about a 4:3 ratio).

9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
heart flush 111863/136024
straight flush 4520/4526
flush+st.flush 116383/140550 = 0.8281
overall: 500621 wins, 16468 ties
(four blanks was 482911 wins, 16468 ties.)

9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
heart flush 113471/137127
straight flush 3321/3324
flush+st.flush 116792/140451 = 0.8315
overall: 501564 wins, 16226 ties
(four blanks was 482210 wins, 16226 ties.)

Close between these two. Neither of them is very good, just slightly better than random. The win/try ratio for flushes and straight flushes is slightly better for the second, and that's the deciding factor for me. (Again, the straight flush ratio between the first and second of these should be, and is, about a 4:3 ratio).

A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
heart flush 125857/137986
straight+royal flush 2223/2223
flush+st.fl.+roy.fl. = 128080/140209 = 0.9135
overall: 600984 wins, 19747 ties
(four blanks was 379269 wins, 19747 ties.)

A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
heart flush 128001/138425
straight+royal flush 1723/1723
flush+st.fl.+roy.fl. 129724/140148 = 0.9256
overall: 601852 wins, 19865 ties
(four blanks was 378283 wins, 19865 ties.)

Again it's close, but this time both of these are good starting hands, and this time there is a discernible difference between the two. The second hand is the better of the two. That’s because the win/try ratio for flushes plus straight (and royal) flushes is better for the second than the first by about one per cent.

I'm not sure what the lesson here is, maybe simply that you should like high cards in this game and coordinated low hands, even if double suited, may not be very good starting hands, even though an expert may be able to turn a profit with them.

But you probably already knew that.

Buzz

Aisthesis 09-27-2007 04:41 PM

Re: another useless hypo
 
I think that is very interesting for HU play--and also other situations where you can expect quite a few HU or 3-way pots.

However, I don't think that means you shouldn't raise them. Imo, they're kind of the exaggerated versions of suited connectors in NLHE, except that in Omaha, you're going to hit with them far more often.

Basically, even though they're not in great shape vs. random, they're hands that you often want to play in very big pots. And if you miss, well, then you just fold.

Aisthesis 09-27-2007 04:42 PM

Re: another useless hypo
 
lmao--me, too!!

chucky 09-27-2007 05:17 PM

Re: another useless hypo
 
low rundowns may be worse against random cards than akqj, but they are much easier to get away from and do quite well in big pots.

pete fabrizio 09-27-2007 05:59 PM

Re: another useless hypo
 
buzz, i don't quite get the point of your post -- double-suited rundown hands are the nuts. my point was just that when the cards are higher, the higher flush value is worth more than the extra straight flushes, and vice versa.

Ribbo 09-27-2007 06:14 PM

Re: another useless hypo
 
[ QUOTE ]
buzz, i don't quite get the point of your post

[/ QUOTE ]

GIGO as they say. You make a pointless post yourself, don't be surprised if the replies you get appear pointless also.
Frankly the semantics of the situation is so irrelevant to the decisions you will make in an omaha hand, any discussion is purely for speculation purposes only.


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