Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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I think Shortline also believes in your generic wolf tell. I do not believe in it though (or at the very least, I apply it poorly).

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do you have any idea what i'm talking about

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Maybe or maybe not. I don't know. I was talking about audience/addressing the thread (shortline knows what I'm talking about here).

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nope [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

Not going to have much time to post.. hopefully on for at least the last 15 mins before nightfall.

My best defense right now is this: Shortline was on me last night, which is fairly normal for him. When I didn't get lynched, it was very likely he'd push for me today and try to railroad everyone into voting with him. Normal Shortline stuff.

Given that, if I was a wolf, WHY would I CONFIRM him instead of KILLING him? Why wouldn't the wolves kill him and poison fnord instead? Or just leave him alone? Confirming Shortline like that would put me in a lot of danger that would be completely unnecessary. I'd definitely kill him.

I don't have a good alternative vote.. aaron seems to be the main bandwagon, and he was voted by two of my top village reads (durron, dmk), so I'll vote aaronk as half-lemming, half-self defense.

Should be back on later.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

Not sure about the count but it looks like it'll come down to aaron, lastchance, nez, or sighing.

I have aaron fairly high on my villager list. I'm not all that familiar with his game to be honest, but I've gotten absolutely no wolfy vibes from him.

Other than Durron, who I think is a confused villager, and Shortline who is confirmed, Lastchance is the least likely to be a wolf IMO. Based on his turbo game, he's acting like he does as a villager and he is quite wolfy when he's a wolf.

While nez is accusing me of this, he appears in many posts to be trying too hard to act natural. He's the most likely wolf IMO.

Sighing's posts were better today but he sounded dodgy yesterday. I think it's reasonably likely that he's a wolf.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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SHORTY PLZ COMMENT ON JAREDL, DUSTING AND AARONK

THX

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Dustin

my final vote for the night

i think i have this one right. see yesterday's turbo for proof i can read him.

jaredl is 80% village. aaron, no opinion.

<u>again, my vote tomorrow (when cast) will indicate the person you should follow oppositely.</u>

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

Sighing, do you think Shortline is a villager/

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

it will be aaron or sighing

lastchance and nez are both terrible votes today

i'm also definitely not confused. i could be wrong, but in that case i am wrong CONFIDENTLY

i still think you are a wolf jared, and i think dustin is your wolf buddy

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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Sighing, do you think Shortline is a villager/

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Yes, of course. Even shortline wouldn't fps to the point of poisoning himself.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

changed my mind

sighing

dustin gets off the hook

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

no, that's bad too.

IY

theeeeeeere we go.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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changed my mind

sighing

dustin gets off the hook

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See.. that's why I'd kill you first.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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Sighing, do you think Shortline is a villager/

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Yes, of course. Even shortline wouldn't fps to the point of poisoning himself.

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I think he would. I really think he would. (but perhaps, I give too much credit to my mason-hero!)

Also, shortline, please claim seer.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

if i'm the seer, lastchance is a wolf.

lawl

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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I understood the factual connection - I just don't see a villager's mind even thinking of it. A wolf's mind would jump immediately to that game. I guess time will tell. Apparently the majority of the village doesn't agree.

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Whatever, I think you're village and your thoughts are skewed by the fact I've never been a villager in a long game with you.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

SOMEONE CURE MY POISON [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

shorty out

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

i wonder if shorty was poisoned to get him to vote sighing today

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

OK, people want strategy? I do not believe this, but I will float it out there for you.

Consider for a second Shortline is a wolf and poisoned himself. He may be relying on the village to save him as follows:

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The Priest:
IP: Protection from Evil: He may protect a player each night from night kill at a 50% rate. His night decisions may enhance or dilute this power.
-The Priest will gain protection and curative abilities. He may also gain extra power against the forces of evil.

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This makes him a "confirmed" while still being a wolf. The down side is he may die. I would not put it past him to take one for the team.

I still am not convinced this is so, but it is a possibility to be looked into.

My vote remains where it was, on Nez. I still think his postings are very forced this time.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

FCBL is a villager, I think. I also wouldn't put it past shortline to do this. (yes, this is insane).

More importantly, the way he has posted today does not seem like shortline wolf who knows he has a high chance of dying.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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no, that's bad too.

IY

theeeeeeere we go.

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shortline I sure wish you'd be a lot more useful right now.

Honestly I dislike my aaron vote right now, not because anything has changed my mind but because I'm less confident in that read than I am in others and I think a little more time would either change my mind or solidify my read.

Might change my vote depending on vote count or particularly compelling reasons to vote someone in my "meh" pile

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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it will be aaron or sighing

lastchance and nez are both terrible votes today

i'm also definitely not confused. i could be wrong, but in that case i am wrong CONFIDENTLY

i still think you are a wolf jared, and i think dustin is your wolf buddy

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You're always (right or) wrong confidently. That's a big part of the problem. So far you're confirmed 0/2. If aaronk is a villager and gets lynched you will be 0/3 confirmed. At what point should the village stop listening to you?

I'm not familiar with dustin, but have him as a meh wolf mainly because of posts that just strike me as odd.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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no, that's bad too.

IY

theeeeeeere we go.

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Shortline, you are a moran for FPSing here.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

Shortline right now is the wolfiest confirmed villager I have ever seen.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

Durron,

Why do you think nez is a terrible vote today?

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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Shortline right now is the wolfiest confirmed villager I have ever seen.

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Now this is not true. I have seen Luckay act way wolfier when confirmed.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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Shortline right now is the wolfiest confirmed villager I have ever seen.

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I believe that this post is wolfy. (more likely to make jared a wolf).

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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Shortline right now is the wolfiest confirmed villager I have ever seen.

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Now this is not true. I have seen Luckay act way wolfier when confirmed.

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i've seen soah act way wolfier than both of them combined

except he actually wasn't peeked and actually was a wolf [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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Shortline right now is the wolfiest confirmed villager I have ever seen.

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I believe that this post is wolfy. (more likely to make jared a wolf).

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I tend to agree. It is also true. I really wish no one had poisoned him and I could lynch him with a clear conscience.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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If aaronk is a villager and gets lynched you will be 0/3 confirmed.

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this really makes me think that you are a wolf and are telling me that aaron is a villager [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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Durron,

Why do you think nez is a terrible vote today?

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i spent a lot of time reading his two towers posts

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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Shortline right now is the wolfiest confirmed villager I have ever seen.

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I believe that this post is wolfy. (more likely to make jared a wolf).

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I tend to agree. It is also true. I really wish no one had poisoned him and I could lynch him with a clear conscience.

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Why do you want to lynch shortline? I generally want to have shortline around for endgame (when he's not a wolf) and follow him like a puppy.

(really shoulda lynched him in last night's turbo though)

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

last minute dustin wagon

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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no, that's bad too.

IY

theeeeeeere we go.

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shortline I sure wish you'd be a lot more useful right now.

Honestly I dislike my aaron vote right now, not because anything has changed my mind but because I'm less confident in that read than I am in others and I think a little more time would either change my mind or solidify my read.

Might change my vote depending on vote count or particularly compelling reasons to vote someone in my "meh" pile

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i no longer think madtown is a super clear villager. i may have been affected by "has same list as me" blinders.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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Now this is not true. I have seen Luckay act way wolfier when confirmed.

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In those instances, Luckay acts so insane that there's no way that he could ever be a wolf.

That and (to touch on your earlier point), Shortline is only about... 95 percent? 98 percent? cleared here. Less if the evil team somehow has a power that will cure him of his poison, more if they don't. If you want to get meta, it comes down to how likely either the evils can cure poison, or how likely the priest will get that power in time (and then use it on Shortline, but I put that at 100%).

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

Also a countif(), I don't think Traz is getting lynched today. :\

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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last minute dustin wagon

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No...but I would consider a JaredL wagon.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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last minute dustin wagon

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No...but I would consider a JaredL wagon.

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I know there is a wagon of one at the moment!

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

Iron_yuppie

I do not know why shortline thinks IY is a wolf. I do not lean wolf on IY. However, shortline thinks IY is a wolf, and shortline is a very high % villager.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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last minute dustin wagon

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No...but I would consider a JaredL wagon.

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shorty thinks jaredl is a villager, thus i don't vote him today

plus i not-the-seer peeked dustin

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

Durron just posted one of the most villagery day 2's EVER. I will not vote him until must-lynch, and probably still won't vote him.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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I do not know why shortline thinks IY is a wolf. I do not lean wolf on IY. However, shortline thinks IY is a wolf, and shortline is a very high % villager.

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This reasoning sucks.

Re: Choose Your Own Adventure Vol I: The Road to Eleria
 

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no, that's bad too.

IY

theeeeeeere we go.

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shortline I sure wish you'd be a lot more useful right now.

Honestly I dislike my aaron vote right now, not because anything has changed my mind but because I'm less confident in that read than I am in others and I think a little more time would either change my mind or solidify my read.

Might change my vote depending on vote count or particularly compelling reasons to vote someone in my "meh" pile

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i no longer think madtown is a super clear villager. i may have been affected by "has same list as me" blinders.

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People keep bringing this up and I don't get it, given that I put half of the people on my list before you mentioned them and you replied "I agree," but apparently I'm following you around like a puppy

In other news, JaredL is creeping up my wolflist, dmk and Zurvan are creeping further into villageland