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-   -   Live 75/150 bottom two (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=495293)

DeathDonkey 09-06-2007 07:48 PM

Live 75/150 bottom two
 
Live semi private Crazy Mike game. Has been 4 handed most of the night, I'd say BB's PFR is around 10% in this game (tight passive). Though postflop he is a bit more normal aggression wise though very straightforward and not a bluffer.

I've CRed the turn probably 5 times in the last hour and always shown a monster hit on the turn. Though recently I did semibluff raise the BB with 32o (don't ask) on the turn and showed the bluff when he folded the river.

Crazy Mike open limps on button, I complete one chip with 64s, BB raises we both call and I'm scared.

Flop is QT4 two tone not my suit, BB bets, Mike folds, I call.

Turn is a 6 and puts second flush draw out I CR he 3 bets very confidently.

How many bets do I want to go into the pot now and how best to make that happen?

-DeathDonkey

geormiet 09-06-2007 08:01 PM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
The minimum, and by check calling? lol, call me unimaginative but that's my recommendation.

bakku 09-06-2007 08:07 PM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
i think if he puts in another raise somewhere you lose but you have enough hand that you want 2 more bets going in (especially since you just showed that bluff). i'd call the turn 3-bet, make sure i don't get counterfeit on the river and c/r again.

tessarji 09-06-2007 08:07 PM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
Even if behind, he has a million outs. Equity not that good. Call and check call.

private joker 09-06-2007 08:11 PM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
Part of me says you want 3 more bets going in, which means you basically have to call, checkraise the river, and fold to a river 3-bet. This plan also allows you to bail if the river brings a horrible Q or T.

ssmallz 09-06-2007 09:42 PM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
[ QUOTE ]
Part of me says you want 3 more bets going in, which means you basically have to call, checkraise the river, and fold to a river 3-bet. This plan also allows you to bail if the river brings a horrible Q or T.

[/ QUOTE ]

Since he's always betting the river here I think I agree w/joker. I'd want to 4 bet the turn though b/c I think you have the best hand. His range is heavy toward AA, KK, and AQ although TT and QQ are also possibie. You def want 3 more bets going into the pot, the only question is the best way to do it.

private joker 09-06-2007 10:46 PM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
[ QUOTE ]
His range is heavy toward AA, KK, and AQ although TT and QQ are also possibie.

[/ QUOTE ]

Given that this is 4-handed and DD has an aggressive image (whether he has the goods or is bluffing, he likes raising the turn), villain's range is a bit wider than this IMO.

Clarkmeister 09-07-2007 01:34 AM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
Gas. I mean, do you really need to call anymore if he freaking 5-bets?

surfdoc 09-07-2007 03:02 AM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
Checkraise the river is better than 4 betting the turn and folding to a 5. You can still fold to a 3 bet and you save the hastle of the board killing your hand. Your description of this guy though doesn't seem like the type to 3 bet for a free SD OR 3 bet the turn with one pair. I guess you have to decide then how his psyche is after seeing you get out of line. In other words, is he angry or tilty? Did he seem very pissed whe you showed him the old 32o?

Who was it?

geormiet 09-07-2007 03:33 AM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
I'm confused here by these responses

he is passive + you have only shown down monsters with your turn checkraises = you are probably behind here and should not 3 bet

??

Chris Daddy Cool 09-07-2007 03:37 AM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
[ QUOTE ]
i think if he puts in another raise somewhere you lose but you have enough hand that you want 2 more bets going in (especially since you just showed that bluff). i'd call the turn 3-bet, make sure i don't get counterfeit on the river and c/r again.

[/ QUOTE ]

DeathDonkey 09-07-2007 04:15 AM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
[ QUOTE ]
Gas. I mean, do you really need to call anymore if he freaking 5-bets?

[/ QUOTE ]

George, I know what you're saying - the interesting thing about this hand is that his range is polarized to hands that I am drawing dead against and hands I am pretty far ahead of. I agree with what Clark said above, if I am going to continue 4 betting makes a lot more sense than potentially missing two bets if he does take a free showdown with AQ or an overpair (definitely a possibility from a passive live player).

In the end I decided to 4 bet and fold to a 5 bet, but he just called, whew.

River paired the 4 so I had a full house and I bet and he immediately raised! WTF? Now what?

-DeathDonkey

PokerBob 09-07-2007 04:56 AM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
call and c/r a good river.

swede554 09-07-2007 06:03 AM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
[ QUOTE ]

In the end I decided to 4 bet and fold to a 5 bet, but he just called, whew.

River paired the 4 so I had a full house and I bet and he immediately raised! WTF? Now what?


[/ QUOTE ]

I'd 3-bet and expect to get called by AA-KK. Not sure on what level this guy is thinking, but I would imagine that now he thinks he can beat QT and goes aheads and raises for value. If he plays straightforward as you say I'd think he'd 5-bet QQ and TT on the turn.

If he 4-bets you're dead a very high % of the time, but folding full houses in big pots for one more bet is not something we do often in limit so I'd pay off just in case he's doing something crazy because of your prior shown bluff.

ship it pls 09-07-2007 09:34 AM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
3-bet, and never consider folding, i would go 5 before folding - given board texture villain should keep playing back with a set on the turn... but i'd probably just call a 4-ball... A4s/KK/AA make sense here depending on the two tone flop, but maybe he shows up with TT enough to make this suck

gaming_mouse 09-07-2007 10:15 AM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
[ QUOTE ]

River paired the 4 so I had a full house and I bet and he immediately raised! WTF? Now what?


[/ QUOTE ]

EDIT: I would just call.

ST069 09-07-2007 10:54 AM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
I don't think his range is really larger then AA, KK, AQ, TT, QQ. I can't imagine he raised on the BB PF with 66 44,QT (maybe he is on a fancy play with QT's),Q6, Q4, T6, T4.

Maybe i'm retarded but Imo you have to 4bet the turn and (even if it seems weak) c/c the majority of the river because so many cards can hurt you there if he was 3betting the turn lightly.

vmacosta 09-07-2007 04:49 PM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
"River paired the 4 so I had a full house and I bet and he immediately raised! WTF? Now what?"

you absolutely have a crying call here. I do not understand how people think this guy is capable of going 7 bets on the big streets with just an overpair. Even lags would have trouble doing that.

aK13 09-07-2007 05:43 PM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
His turn 5bet range is the same as his call turn/raise river, methinks.

J.A.Sucker 09-07-2007 06:45 PM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
[ QUOTE ]
"River paired the 4 so I had a full house and I bet and he immediately raised! WTF? Now what?"

you absolutely have a crying call here. I do not understand how people think this guy is capable of going 7 bets on the big streets with just an overpair. Even lags would have trouble doing that.

[/ QUOTE ]

Agreed.

Joe Tall 09-07-2007 08:58 PM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
[ QUOTE ]
"River paired the 4 so I had a full house and I bet and he immediately raised! WTF? Now what?"

you absolutely have a crying call here. I do not understand how people think this guy is capable of going 7 bets on the big streets with just an overpair. Even lags would have trouble doing that.

[/ QUOTE ]

Take it street by street, regardless of the X-bets, that's all in the pot now.

Think about DDs image, "showing 32o semibluff", WTF? Granted I know more history about DDs game. Ive seen 7 bets go in on the flop, 3 on the turn, and watch his opponents check/fold the river in complete mystery to me.

We know two important things that converge on the river:

1. He didn't 5-bet the turn.
2. AA and KK beat QT, T6, Q6.

You are putting him on exactly QQ? It debatable if he'll raise preflop out of the BB here w/TT given his description. I'm sure DD can fill in more about aht. And, he just doesn't call the turn with those two hands, he gassing DD down the to felt with those.

3-bet the river.

vmacosta 09-07-2007 10:26 PM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
Joetall, let me turn this around on you. Say, for some reason, you had a somewhat tight/passive image and were up against somebody you thought to be a tricky lag: would you raise the river with aa/kk after having gone 4 bets on the turn? If not, are there opponents you regularly play with at these limits where raising AA/KK would be a good idea?


BTW- if you somehow manage to mess my point up here there are plenty of other good reasons why 3-betting the river is spew [img]/images/graemlins/smirk.gif[/img]

Joe Tall 09-07-2007 10:45 PM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
[ QUOTE ]
Joetall, let me turn this around on you. Say, for some reason, you had a somewhat tight/passive image and were up against somebody you thought to be a tricky lag: would you raise the river with aa/kk after having gone 4 bets on the turn?

[/ QUOTE ]

When you break it down like that, how could I not now that I beat 3 of his likely holdings?

[ QUOTE ]
If not, are there opponents you regularly play with at these limits where raising AA/KK would be a good idea?


[/ QUOTE ]

There is no, way, shape, or form anything normal about this game comparing to what I regularly play in. I know more about what is in play here, but this is poker on steroids when Crazy Mike and DD are in the game a shorthanded game.

blumpkin 09-08-2007 05:55 AM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
This is one of the most interesting hands I've seen here in a while. Thanks for posting it DD.

Joe - Does the BB really think DD will bet (and call) the river with a counterfeited two pair (granted, QT could be value betting vs AQ, but still). It's an easy value raise with AA/KK vs an aggro online donk but I get the sense that the BB will just call here with those hands. He may even show up with a missed flush draw (AKs) more often than an overpair...That said, I have no idea why he would smooth-call QQ on the turn...FPS?

Joe Tall 09-08-2007 06:20 AM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
[ QUOTE ]


Joe - Does the BB really think DD will bet (and call) the river with a counterfeited two pair?

[/ QUOTE ]

DD is a self admited showdown monkey. If he had this image that night, I dunno, have to ask him.

vmacosta 09-08-2007 03:48 PM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
If you have a weak/tight image and up against a tricky lag you probably wanna showdown so you need somewhere between 50 and 67% equity in order to raise/call the river.

Most of DD's range is Q6, Q4, and 64 (expecting T6 to bet/call the river is ridiculous). However, due to him going 4 bets on the turn, we have to assume he can show up with QT, 66, and 44 at least some of the time.

Stoving AA vs. {Q6,Q4,64} gives AA 43% equity.
AA vs. {QT,Q6,Q4,66,44,64} gives AA 53%

Your equity is between 43% and 53%--definitely not enough equity to raise/call the river here (DD's 3-betting range surely includes 44 and lots of people are saying to include the other fullhouses).

This guy isn't correct to raise the river with AA/KK and he's on the passive side to begin with, so it is highly unlikely 3-betting 64 is good.

Joe Tall 09-08-2007 04:12 PM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 


[ QUOTE ]
AA vs. {QT,Q6,Q4,66,44,64} gives AA 53%

[/ QUOTE ] FWIW, I think DD plays a set faster so we can weigh this a bit and kill the % of him having of 66, 44, driving overpair equity up.


[ QUOTE ]
This guy isn't correct to raise the river with AA/KK and he's on the passive side to begin with, so it is highly unlikely 3-betting 64 is good.

[/ QUOTE ]

I understand your point, well taken. I think I know DD, the players, the game texture to well to even respond. You are correct in your analysis, I cant disagree. I'm sure you will not but you can't get caught up in weather he played his hand correctly as we are here to capitalize on our opponents mistakes and I feel our opponent will make one too often here.

*TT* 09-08-2007 04:13 PM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
[ QUOTE ]
I have no idea why he would smooth-call QQ on the turn...FPS?

[/ QUOTE ]

Because thats what live players do. They are afraid of losing that extra bet, thinking that they would rather raise the river than 5 bet the turn because "then he will know what my hand is". This line from the villain is rather common with QQ or TT.

IMHO its close between calling and 3-balling. In the heat of the battle I call because of the villain's description - this player type usually doesn't spew too much on the river once there has been tons of action. Additionally if he thinks the river just counterfeited your 2-pair he is more likely to just call than raise.

PokerBob 09-09-2007 08:00 AM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Gas. I mean, do you really need to call anymore if he freaking 5-bets?

[/ QUOTE ]

George, I know what you're saying - the interesting thing about this hand is that his range is polarized to hands that I am drawing dead against and hands I am pretty far ahead of. I agree with what Clark said above, if I am going to continue 4 betting makes a lot more sense than potentially missing two bets if he does take a free showdown with AQ or an overpair (definitely a possibility from a passive live player).

In the end I decided to 4 bet and fold to a 5 bet, but he just called, whew.

River paired the 4 so I had a full house and I bet and he immediately raised! WTF? Now what?

-DeathDonkey

[/ QUOTE ]

doing anything other than calling on the river is insane.

mike l. 09-09-2007 05:08 PM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
the problem with trying to c/r safe rivers is that players like this (from what ive read so far) will 3 bet AA out of anger (not in their nature) on the turn here but then "come to their senses" and irrationally check behind on the river.

my first instinct with this hand was call the 3 bet and donk-decide safe rivers and now i think ive formulated exactly why.

HOWMANY 09-10-2007 05:49 AM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
Mike you know who this hand was against right?

If I played this hand against this player it would be much closer to a fold to the turn 3bet and the river raise than to put in more action.

DeathDonkey 09-12-2007 10:41 PM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
Forgot about this - I cry called the river raise while saying "nice hand totally owned me" and then he showed KK. Everyone that knows him agrees he lost his mind but I thought it was a good hand to post anyway despite the personal read.

-DeathDonkey

JacksonTens 09-13-2007 01:03 AM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
call, c/c or c/r/f

But can you make that fold in that pot there?

JT

lucid75 09-13-2007 01:54 AM

Re: Live 75/150 bottom two
 
I've never played this high before, but call turn, call river? reraising gets only 1 extra bet from AA/KK/AQ, but puts you in a very difficult spot against QQ/TT if capped, maybe KJ/AK/AQ w/ f draw. If you get capped, you may have to pay off a few more bets. Reraising may make him be able to make a hero fold w/ AA or KK, and you need those hands in his range on a river bet. There are a lot of cards to be afraid of on the river, so keep the pot small.


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