Probability question
 

Hey,

Suppose you are going to raise with 20% of your overall distribution, and an opponent is going to 3-bet with 5% of his.

Is the probability of him 3-betting you when you raise simply 5%? You wouldn't do .2*.05, right?

Dumb question but just not quite sure.

Re: Probability question
 

5%

Re: Probability question
 

Less than 5%

If we can assume that his 5% is completely contained as a subset of our 20% - therefore when we're going in, some of his distribution is taken, making it less likely that his distribution will occur.

Re: Probability question
 

use the probability forum, it's right under general gamblin

Re: Probability question
 

just valuebet, noob. stop playing with FPS.

Re: Probability question
 

[ QUOTE ]
Less than 5%

If we can assume that his 5% is completely contained as a subset of our 20% - therefore when we're going in, some of his distribution is taken, making it less likely that his distribution will occur.

[/ QUOTE ]

OK. You do realize though that the percentage is only ONE hand less than 5% AT WORST right? This is very very close to 5% again. And 75% of the time it is the full 5%.