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-   -   JJ utg in FTP $50/50 (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=512754)

benza13 09-30-2007 10:50 PM

JJ utg in FTP $50/50
 
Full Tilt Poker Game #3721019976: The Fifty-Fifty (27629335), Table 18 - 40/80 - No Limit Hold'em - 22:48:23 ET - 2007/09/30
Seat 1: ekinnehs18 (4,130)
Seat 2: jpoker531 (5,250)
Seat 3: florian24 (1,670)
Seat 4: vinytuc (4,290)
Seat 5: ChipnaChrrrr (4,900)
Seat 6: PManningRules (3,621)
Seat 7: Jnr Boom (5,214)
Seat 8: breauxdle (1,875)
Seat 9: jimmythefox (4,470)
florian24 posts the small blind of 40
vinytuc posts the big blind of 80
The button is in seat #2
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to ChipnaChrrrr [Jh Js]
ChipnaChrrrr raises to 280
PManningRules folds
Jnr Boom folds
breauxdle folds
jimmythefox folds
ekinnehs18 folds
jpoker531 folds
florian24 folds
vinytuc raises to 4,290, and is all in
ChipnaChrrrr has 15 seconds left to act
ChipnaChrrrr has requested TIME

Edit, no reads as he just moved to the table.

Sherman 09-30-2007 11:25 PM

Re: JJ utg in FTP $50/50
 
I'd call.

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 47.967% 46.92% 01.05% 274776324 6122802.00 { 88+, AQs+, AKo }
Hand 1: 52.033% 50.99% 01.05% 298586040 6122802.00 { JJ }

jay_shark 09-30-2007 11:34 PM

Re: JJ utg in FTP $50/50
 
I personally wouldn't call and would strongly consider folding .

I doubt he shoves with something like pocket 8's but he would have to be pretty bad to do this .

Sherman 09-30-2007 11:37 PM

Re: JJ utg in FTP $50/50
 
[ QUOTE ]
I personally wouldn't call and would strongly consider folding .

I doubt he shoves with something like pocket 8's but he would have to be pretty bad to do this .

[/ QUOTE ]

LOL donkaments.

hamnegger 09-30-2007 11:44 PM

Re: JJ utg in FTP $50/50
 
depends . do you want to flip for all your chips? i think its 50%ak,aq 40% qq-aa 10% weaker hand . i fold

Sherman 10-01-2007 12:02 AM

Re: JJ utg in FTP $50/50
 
We need 46.52% equity to break even. Here are some tighter ranges:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 63.415% 61.85% 01.57% 222385788 5645496.00 { JJ+, AKs, AKo }
Hand 1: 36.585% 35.01% 01.57% 125907060 5645496.00 { JJ }


equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 56.771% 55.40% 01.37% 233355456 5780460.00 { TT+, AKs, AKo }
Hand 1: 43.229% 41.86% 01.37% 176310408 5780460.00 { JJ }



equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 57.400% 57.19% 00.21% 293794824 1063806.00 { QQ+, AQs+, AQo+ }
Hand 1: 42.600% 42.39% 00.21% 217768764 1063806.00 { JJ }


equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 53.124% 52.08% 01.04% 304987776 6112398.00 { TT+, AQs+, AQo+ }
Hand 1: 46.876% 45.83% 01.04% 268395396 6112398.00 { JJ }


Fact is, we have no real great estimate of his range. I've seen AJ and 77 show up in $20s here before. I also think QQ+ should get some sort of discount b/c who plays those hands like that?

Anyhow. I'd call relatively quickly actually.

levAA 10-01-2007 04:09 AM

Re: JJ utg in FTP $50/50
 
[ QUOTE ]
I personally wouldn't call and would strongly consider folding .

I doubt he shoves with something like pocket 8's but he would have to be pretty bad to do this .

[/ QUOTE ]

Same is true for AA and KK.

I think most of the time you will face AK and TT here (also JJ - but these are unlikely here) cause most have no idea how to play them and permashove these cards.

I snapcall this.


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