Felix - Daisuke 04-11
 

Why is Seattle +154 tomorrow night?

Re: Felix - Daisuke 04-11
 

Hype, lineup, homefield

Re: Felix - Daisuke 04-11
 

Shouldn't it be closer to +130 or so though?

Re: Felix - Daisuke 04-11
 

Yes but wait for all of the boston money to get in tonight to push that line up to +165 or so.

Re: Felix - Daisuke 04-11
 

Yeah I'm definitely waiting to bet it. Seems like ridiculous value even if Seattle blows.

Re: Felix - Daisuke 04-11
 

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Shouldn't it be closer to +130 or so though?

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well, it's a great bet and it should get greater...

Re: Felix - Daisuke 04-11
 

I might look towards the under if not BoSox. Great pitchers getting +150 is extremely rare but Felix did struggle away last year(5.47 ERA), always good at home. Everyone is hyping Felix being in shape, but his stuff was just as electric last year, and his spring was average this year. Seattle was dominated by Beckett today, albeit after a long layoff... anyways, just thoughts...

Re: Felix - Daisuke 04-11
 

Fading Matsuzaka will obviously have value in the long run. But I wouldn't be too willing to back these Mariners just yet. They looked atrocious yesterday after that week off, in all aspects of the game: pitching, hitting, and fielding.

I don't like the prospects of a team shaking off rust against a pitcher who's been unhittable all spring.

Re: Felix - Daisuke 04-11
 

feliz +163 has a lot of value in my opinion. that is just a huge number for feliz who is coming off of a gem. it will be interesting to see how dice-k handles the pressure at fenway. i wouldn't be surprised if he struggles.

Re: Felix - Daisuke 04-11
 

I'm down for a half a unit @ +168 on bodog.