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-   -   AK hitsTPTK on turn. Turn bet too weak? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=546818)

niteswmer 11-15-2007 12:45 PM

AK hitsTPTK on turn. Turn bet too weak?
 
Villain is 14.8/5/.79 over only 280 hands. I raise PF, follow-up with a CB, get called, then hit my K on the turn. Is my turn bet so weak that I induce villain to call with a flush draw? As played, do I call the river? With such a low aggression factor, does villain always have a hand that beats TPTK here?

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (8 handed) Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

MP1 ($60.90)
Hero ($49.50)
CO ($22.20)
Button ($10.60)
SB ($41.30)
BB ($12.95)
UTG ($49.85)
UTG+1 ($53.45)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif, Khttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif. SB posts a blind of $0.50.
BB calls $0.50, UTG calls $0.50, 2 folds</font>, Hero raises to $2.5</font>, 3 folds</font>, BB folds, UTG calls $2.

Flop: ($6) 9http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...es/diamond.gif, 6http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif, 2http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...es/diamond.gif (2 players)</font>
UTG checks, Hero bets $4</font>, UTG calls $4.

Turn: ($14) Khttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif (2 players)</font>
UTG checks, Hero bets $8</font>, UTG calls $8.

River: ($30) 3http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...es/diamond.gif (2 players)</font>
UTG bets $15</font>, Hero ???.

mce86 11-15-2007 12:52 PM

Re: AK hitsTPTK on turn. Turn bet too weak?
 
Its weak enough that you can afford to call the small river bet. I would have bet bigger on the turn though...

ranka 11-15-2007 01:04 PM

Re: AK hitsTPTK on turn. Turn bet too weak?
 
Raise more preflop, there is 2 limpers + blind poster (SB).

Turn bet should be larger. As played, I would fold river. Yes river bet is a very weak but I don't believe this passive villian betting without 2p or flush.

Brimstead 11-15-2007 01:06 PM

Re: AK hitsTPTK on turn. Turn bet too weak?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Its weak enough that you can afford to call the small river bet. I would have bet bigger on the turn though...

[/ QUOTE ]

agreed, u give too good a price on the turn, bet nearer the pot

RapidEvolution 11-15-2007 03:00 PM

Re: AK hitsTPTK on turn. Turn bet too weak?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Raise more preflop, there is 2 limpers + blind poster (SB).

Turn bet should be larger. As played, I would fold river. Yes river bet is a very weak but I don't believe this passive villian betting without 2p or flush.

[/ QUOTE ]

I might bet a bit more on this flop too.

ship_it_trebek 11-15-2007 03:03 PM

Re: AK hitsTPTK on turn. Turn bet too weak?
 
I doubt you are good here enough to merit a call especially against a passive villain. and as everyone else said more on flop and turn.

dislocation 11-15-2007 03:09 PM

Re: AK hitsTPTK on turn. Turn bet too weak?
 
Villian is nitty and passive. I think his bet is most likely a value bet. I wouldn't make this call even getting the 3:1 odds.

wikemang 11-15-2007 03:12 PM

Re: AK hitsTPTK on turn. Turn bet too weak?
 
pot flop and pot turn. as played fold to the donkbet which appears to be a value bet

PenguinExpress 11-15-2007 03:18 PM

Re: AK hitsTPTK on turn. Turn bet too weak?
 
Bet $10-12 on the turn. As played, call the river.

wikemang 11-15-2007 03:28 PM

Re: AK hitsTPTK on turn. Turn bet too weak?
 
villain's AF is .79. For everyone advocating a call on the turn here, what do you think he could have on the river that he is betting and we beat with TPTK? Based on his AF I'm pretty sure this is an easy fold.


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