World Series Experiment
 

I decided to try to use my Strat-o-matic baseball simulator to make picks on the series this year. I've updated all players based on their 2007 stats.So far I've played Game 1 Francis vs. Beckett 50 times (due to time constraints, small sample, I know) for a record of COL-24 BOS-26. That'd make Strat's price on the Rockies around +110, as opposed to the posted odds of +190, for a conceivable pick. Also, the sim says the total should be 9.22, which is too close for a pick on the total. But, if at all accurate, the Rockies have value at +190. Let the experiment begin.

Strat-o-matic Game 1 pick: COL +190 for 1 unit
YTD 0-0, 0 units

Re: World Series Experiment
 

What is this strat-o-matic? Where did you get it? And why didn't you run the simulation more than 50 times?
Edit: I guess it was due to time constraints, how long does it take to run one simulation?

Re: World Series Experiment
 

www.strat-o-matic.com

It only takes a few seconds to run the sim, but between renovating my house and playing poker I don't have much time at all. Most of my time went to updating rosters and adjusting players cards to perform as they did this season.

Re: World Series Experiment
 

I ran 50 more games, for a total of 100. COL-49 BOS-51

Re: World Series Experiment
 

Fade the strange contraption.

Re: World Series Experiment
 

JTreez - I think that basing on your bets on strat-o-matic results is kind of wacky.

Re: World Series Experiment
 

I grew up playing strat o matic with my brother. Well done and good luck.

Re: World Series Experiment
 

Quite possibly. This is just an experiment, I'm not putting a red cent on this.

Re: World Series Experiment
 

[ QUOTE ]
Quite possibly. This is just an experiment, I'm not putting a red cent on this.

[/ QUOTE ]

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/po...rd=sportevents

Re: World Series Experiment
 

Strat-o-matic?!?!

LOL.

Good luck! The thought of doing the same actually crossed my mind on one occasion.

Has anyone thought of using "Pizza Box Football"

http://www.boardgamegeek.com/game/17851

To calculate spreads, ML's and totals?

LOL.