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-   -   AKs... line check please! NLSNG (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=529624)

daveT 10-23-2007 05:40 PM

AKs... line check please! NLSNG
 
Villain seemed to take his time calling pf. I didn't know what to make of the c/r here, but that I have basically been running dude over. I think he has been trying to play back a bit, but not to any success. I think I could have played this better. Thoughts on all streets appreciated.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t20 (2 handed) Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Hero (t1620)
Button (t1380)

Preflop: Hero is BB with K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">Button raises to t60</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t160</font>, Button calls t100.

Flop: (t320) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t140</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to t280</font>, Hero calls t140.

Turn: (t880) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Button bets t940 (All-In)</font>, Hero folds.

Final Pot: t-60

ratone 10-23-2007 05:50 PM

Re: AKs... line check please! NLSNG
 
I think your bet sizes are kinda small, I would prob make it 180~200 pf, and on the flop I would bet a little over 1/2 pot.

With those odds and that deep after his minraise I think itīs ok to call trying to hit a K or A, but I canīt say I love that spot.

jay_shark 10-23-2007 06:16 PM

Re: AKs... line check please! NLSNG
 
I raise a bit more pre-flop .
I bet more otf .
I fold the turn .

daveT 10-23-2007 06:20 PM

Re: AKs... line check please! NLSNG
 
JayShark, are you suggesting that I take this to showdown?

jay_shark 10-23-2007 06:53 PM

Re: AKs... line check please! NLSNG
 
You need to win ~ 34% of the time to show a profit .

If we're behind , then certainly we don't have the right odds to continue . So we have to assign a probability for us presently having the best hand .

Say x % of the time , we actually have the best hand and win ~ 88% (2x rule for suckouts) . The rest of the time we win about 25% of the time (reasonable guess) . For calling to be profitable , we need to evaluate the value of x .

So we wish to solve:

x*0.88 + (1-x)*0.25 &gt;=0.34
x&gt;=14.2857%

You can probably answer this better than us .
Do you think you have the best hand ott more than ~ 14% of the time ?

daveT 10-23-2007 06:58 PM

Re: AKs... line check please! NLSNG
 
No, if I thought that I would have shoved PF.

xSCWx 10-23-2007 07:23 PM

Re: AKs... line check please! NLSNG
 
I'd go 200 preflop and ~280 on the flop.

Edit: On the flop I would call a min raise, fold to a shove.

If he just called I would shove the turn.

Landonfan 10-23-2007 11:45 PM

Re: AKs... line check please! NLSNG
 
[ QUOTE ]
I'd go 200 preflop and ~280 on the flop.

Edit: On the flop I would call a min raise, fold to a shove.

If he just called I would shove the turn.

[/ QUOTE ]
If we go 280 on the flop, are we still calling the minraise?

xSCWx 10-23-2007 11:55 PM

Re: AKs... line check please! NLSNG
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I'd go 200 preflop and ~280 on the flop.

Edit: On the flop I would call a min raise, fold to a shove.

If he just called I would shove the turn.

[/ QUOTE ]
If we go 280 on the flop, are we still calling the minraise?

[/ QUOTE ]

Scrap that whole post actually, I haven't played in 20 blinds for a while.

180 preflop, 250 post flop, I'd call the min raise but I wouldn't be happy about it.


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