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-   -   5/10: AK on QJJT3. (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=307826)

Jeff W 01-17-2007 03:43 AM

5/10: AK on QJJT3.
 
Eff. Stacks ~$1,300

Villain (UTG) is 43/13 over 196 hands. Very aggro post flop going by stats, but sample size is a bit limited obv.

UTG limps, I raise to $45 with AKo, SB 28/14 calls, UTG calls.

Flop QJJr.

Check, check, check.

Turn T. Pot: $145

Check, UTG bets $85, I call(questionable?), SB folds.

River 3. Pot: $315

UTG checks, I bet $300, UTG raises all-in for ~$900 more;

I fold receiving ~3:2 odds.

I hope my arithmetic is correct.

Hattifnatt 01-17-2007 04:24 AM

Re: 5/10: AK on QJJT3.
 
Looks fine even though I would bet 140 or son river. Calling the river c/r woulda been a spew.

good2cu 01-17-2007 06:29 AM

Re: 5/10: AK on QJJT3.
 
wow river c/r is so weird. I might call.

good2cu 01-17-2007 06:29 AM

Re: 5/10: AK on QJJT3.
 
yea i def call.

Big_Jim 01-18-2007 06:13 AM

Re: 5/10: AK on QJJT3.
 
Did the T put a flush draw on the board? That changes things a lot, because
a) Gives him more bluffing combinations that make sense
b) Makes a check/raise a better move with a legit hand.

Given how the hand played out, there are really only two boat hands that really make any sense, with QJ and JT, and he has no real reason to think that you have a strong hand here, at all, given your flop check.

Getting 2:1 (your math is not correct), I'd call it.

If there was no FD, I might find a fold, sometimes.

DJ Sensei 01-18-2007 06:17 AM

Re: 5/10: AK on QJJT3.
 
raise turn (although call isnt terrible), call river c/r, he has a lower straight or something a lot here.

Jeff W 01-18-2007 08:57 AM

Re: 5/10: AK on QJJT3.
 
[ QUOTE ]
Getting 2:1 (your math is not correct), I'd call it.

If there was no FD, I might find a fold, sometimes.

[/ QUOTE ]

Turn was a 4 card rainbow.

Damn, I knew I screwed up the arithmetic.

Kristian 01-18-2007 09:32 AM

Re: 5/10: AK on QJJT3.
 
He is very aggro post flop. He only needs to be bluffing 33% of the time to make a call profitable. It is a pretty strange way to play a boat. I can't fold.

I also bet the river smaller.


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