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-   -   Sunday Baseball - Ari (Hernandez) V. Col (Fogg) (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=522750)

NhlNut 10-14-2007 12:57 PM

Sunday Baseball - Ari (Hernandez) V. Col (Fogg)
 
Ari(L. Hernandez) V. Col(J. Fogg)
I like the Under 10(-115).

Both starters have been good against the other team this year.
Hernandez - 5 starts, 35 ip: 1.54 era, 1.34 whip
Fogg - 4 starts, 24ip: 2.63 era, 1.50 whip [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

This year, only 5 of 20 games between Ari/Col have gone over 10.

Weather tonight in Col is in the 40's and rainy.

centris 10-14-2007 01:56 PM

Re: Sunday Baseball - Ari (Hernandez) V. Col (Fogg)
 
I am on, more 1st innning Ks COL -125. Neither Hernandez nor Fogg strike many people out, but Fogg has more than Hernandez (94K/745PA v 90K/913PA) and the top of ARI lineup strikes out a ton. My simulations say the the true line is -155ish if ARI goes Young/Drew/Byrnes/Jackson/Reynolds, it gets even better if they go Young/Drew/Clark/Reynolds (which they did in game 2). you can get it at 5dimes.

centris 10-14-2007 02:29 PM

Re: Sunday Baseball - Ari (Hernandez) V. Col (Fogg)
 
C. Young has a strike out -175 (my estimate is -198)
ARI first homerun -110 (my estimate is -126)

also at 5dimes

Parlay Slow 10-14-2007 03:35 PM

Re: Sunday Baseball - Ari (Hernandez) V. Col (Fogg)
 
thanks for posting the props centris

murphstahoe 10-14-2007 08:08 PM

Re: Sunday Baseball - Ari (Hernandez) V. Col (Fogg)
 
Colorado is -143 at WSEX, I could not resist.

centris 10-14-2007 08:52 PM

Re: Sunday Baseball - Ari (Hernandez) V. Col (Fogg)
 
[ QUOTE ]
more 1st innning Ks COL -125.
ARI first homerun -110 (my estimate is -126)


[/ QUOTE ]

That went poorly.

NhlNut 10-14-2007 11:55 PM

Re: Sunday Baseball - Ari (Hernandez) V. Col (Fogg)
 
[ QUOTE ]

I like the Under 10(-115).


[/ QUOTE ]
http://deals.hamptonroads.com/images/deals/51535.jpg

centris 10-15-2007 07:33 PM

Re: Sunday Baseball - Ari (Hernandez) V. Col (Fogg)
 
Because my picks went so well last night, here is what I gotz:

ARI 1st inning Ks thrown +145 (my simulations +127)
Drew no strikeout +130 (+120)

I had some for BOS/CLE but it has started.


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