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-   -   Anatomy of a busto (LC) (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=175641)

kerowo 07-31-2006 10:14 PM

Anatomy of a busto (LC)
 
After talking to Boz about Parties inter-account transfer policy (need 100 in your account to transfer 50) I told him it would be interesting to see how my stats change without having all the Party history loading me down. Of course he just told me to filter my hands. Duh. So I did and this is what it looks like:
Filtering using a from date of:
1/1/06 - hands 107k vpip 22.04 pfr% 8.62 wtsd 34.02 wasd 50.60 BB100 .74
2/1/06 - hands 70k vpip 22.13 pfr% 9.21 wtsd 33.83 wasd 49.8 BB100 .27
3/1/06 - hands 45k vpip 22.79 pfr% 10.20 wtsd 34.04 wasd 48.63 BB100 .20
4/1/06 - hands 28k vpip 23.47 pfr%10.69 wtsd 33.65 wasd 47.79 BB100 .18
5/1/06 - hands 17k vpip 24.01 pfr%11.60 wtsd 33.86 wasd 45.68 BB100 (2.22)
6/1/06 - Played pretty much 1/2 this month, no real changes in .5/1
7/1/06 - hands 10k vpip 24.04 pfr%12.13 wtsd 34.08 wasd 45.73 BB100 (3.13)

I'm not entirely sure what to make of this, I notice that my vpip was going the wrong direction while my pfr was going the right direction. Also that my went to show down was fairly static but my win at show down dropped 5%, probably because of the all the hands I was playing. What I should have noticed is that I've been sucking since May 1 and didn't figure it out till this month.

Any comments or observations welcome. And yes, this is the last busto post until the 30k checkup at .10/.20 on stars...

OziBattler 07-31-2006 10:23 PM

Re: Anatomy of a busto (LC)
 
mostly full ring, right?

call me a tight nit but it looks to me like you are playing a few too many hands preflop.

Since Im no postflop genius I find I loose too much money playing the hands that would move me from 18%VPIP to 25%VPIP so I just dont play them. The hands that push you over a 20%VPIP are marginal winners at best and I hate being dominated.

whilst grinding it back up, have you considered tightening up a bit preflop and just pushing your larger edges postflop?

kerowo 07-31-2006 10:27 PM

Re: Anatomy of a busto (LC)
 
Yea, all full ring. The last few sessions that is what I've been paying attention to, tightening up pre-flop. I think I was getting frisky with unsuited crap thinking I could make up for it post flop... Pride goeth before a fall, and how!

Haven't started the rebuild, need to wait for payday and do a little more thinking about my game before I start up again.

bennyhana 07-31-2006 10:53 PM

Re: Anatomy of a busto (LC)
 
i don't get it. you must be pushing too hard in big pots and winning a bunch of small ones.

my hand counts suck, you play a lot.

kerowo 07-31-2006 11:51 PM

Re: Anatomy of a busto (LC)
 
In January I was 4 and 5 tabling a lot, as time went on I wasn't playing as much and stopped 5 tabling. I was thinking of trying to export some horrible sessions and see what the average pot I won was v the average pot I lost.

OK, that didn't take as long as I thought. In April I played about the same amount of hands as July. I won more when I won and lost less when I lost. But the biggest change was in blind stealing/defense. In April I lost 28 BB to blind defense, in July 70. In April I won 111 BB stealing blinds, in July 27. So I pushed too much and too far in both stealing and defending my blinds. Well there's a leak...

kiemo 08-01-2006 12:06 AM

Re: Anatomy of a busto (LC)
 
You have to be a awesome postflop player to be able to have a VPIP of 23% at full ring.

I personally think this means you cant be a 4 table HUD-BOT and you really have to get some reads on players becuase you are going to be flopping tons of marginal situations and you are probably tossing alot of money into these pots.

freedom18 08-01-2006 12:34 AM

Re: Anatomy of a busto (LC)
 
i personally have a VPIP avg of about 15-17% at all times and I play alot of marginal hands ^^ iso raising with KT QT etc... usually nothing under T for my kicker and suited connecters 78+ with 2 limpers ahead of me

ottsville 08-01-2006 09:05 AM

Re: Anatomy of a busto (LC)
 
I can't see playing 4 and 5 tables with those Vpip's. I often run 20-22 when I play one or two tables, but with more tables than that, you get into too many marginal situations.

bozlax 08-01-2006 11:22 AM

Re: Anatomy of a busto (LC)
 
[ QUOTE ]
Filtering using a from date of:

[/ QUOTE ]

So I noticed that you seemed to be playing progressively fewer hands. Then I looked at this. Then I figured out why.

If you want to see how your stats have been changing on a mothly basis, use from and to dates, i.e. look at one month at a time. Your first set of data is cumulative of all the other sets, so it's not really reflective of how your stats have changed.

kerowo 08-01-2006 11:44 AM

Re: Anatomy of a busto (LC)
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Filtering using a from date of:

[/ QUOTE ]

So I noticed that you seemed to be playing progressively fewer hands. Then I looked at this. Then I figured out why.

If you want to see how your stats have been changing on a mothly basis, use from and to dates, i.e. look at one month at a time. Your first set of data is cumulative of all the other sets, so it's not really reflective of how your stats have changed.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yea, that's the next step, and I did that when noticing how poorly I was doing in blind steal/defense situations.


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