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-   -   NL10: JJ Value Bet (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=492717)

Aviston 09-03-2007 03:44 PM

NL10: JJ Value Bet
 
Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.05/$0.10 Blinds - 9 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $8.75
BB: $1.85
UTG: $3.90
UTG+1: $11.85
MP1: $6.95
MP2: $9.90
Hero (MP3): $19.30
CO: $1.85
BTN: $3.00

Preflop: Hero is dealt J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (9 Players)
UTG folds, UTG+1 calls $0.10, 2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $0.60</font>, 4 folds, UTG+1 calls $0.50

Flop: ($1.35) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG+1 checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $1.00</font>, UTG+1 calls $1.00

Turn: ($3.35) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG+1 checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $2.00</font>, UTG+1 calls $2.00

River: ($7.35) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero checks

Pot Size: $7.35 ($0.70 Rake)

My river aggression is quite low so I'm looking for more value bets. Try as I might, I can't find one here. Does anyone value bet this river?

Teddie 09-03-2007 04:18 PM

Re: NL10: JJ Value Bet
 
Bet about $2.75 - $3 on the turn.

Looks like a missed FD so i doubt you will get much. I'd probaly fire $2 and hope he had A5 or something.

GrandMelon 09-03-2007 04:45 PM

Re: NL10: JJ Value Bet
 
half pot sounds good

Aviston 09-03-2007 05:06 PM

Re: NL10: JJ Value Bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
Bet about $2.75 - $3 on the turn.

[/ QUOTE ]
I've been testing the waters with various bet sizes on the turn trying to balance pot control with betting for value and to offer incorrect odds for those on a draw. My turn bet here means that Villan has to win roughly a half pot sized bet from me on the river to have correct implied odds to make the call. If the third spade hits, I can probably find a fold (perhaps) if he donks like a pot sized bet.

stuartharris 09-03-2007 05:12 PM

Re: NL10: JJ Value Bet
 
I seem to be in the minority here, but I like the check behind on the river. Do we really get called by a 5 or a 9 (or worse) nearly as often as we get called with a 3 or a Q?

Aviston 09-03-2007 05:14 PM

Re: NL10: JJ Value Bet
 
[ QUOTE ]
I seem to be in the minority here, but I like the check behind on the river. Do we really get called by a 5 or a 9 (or worse) nearly as often as we get called with a 3 or a Q?

[/ QUOTE ]
That's how I was looking at it. However, I suppose he might call often enough with small/middle pocket pairs to make it a thin value bet.


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