2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System
 

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...age=0&vc=1
Total 140-108-7, around 56.5% last 2 years.

Any home fave that opens at -1 or more, and ends at -0.5-4.5 [<5 pts] fave we bet, out of conference only, excluding a very few mega-rivalry games like Cinci v Xavier, UK v LVille.

Anything else is not in this system. Make sure your 'home' team is really playing at home and not 2 hours away.

Tomorrow looks like 2 games to start us off:
LMU -2
Charlotte -2.5. Posting these early to kick things off and I doubt they will move 3+ either way.

You can wait until an hour before tipoff or 5 mins before to lock in spread if it's -4/-4.5 etc. That's up to you, with so many games going off during a given day now and then I normally just post them in late afternoon - but it's mechanical so anyone can post them if they know the system. [-5pts is not in the system. Even is not in the system.]

System ends with Conf play each year.

Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System
 

less systems more AC stories gogogo

Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System
 

cfla -3.5 loss vs nevada
niowa -4 win vs umass
loyala -4.5 win vs penn
ohio -4 win vs nmsu
ucsb -4.5 win vs nwsu
creigh -3 win vs depaul
tulane -2.5 win vs auburn

6-1 results in subset games played so far (based only on closing lines)

Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System
 

What's the reasoning behind this one? HCA under-adjusted for in close games?

Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System
 

Or maybe in a close game the crowd will get involved more?

Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System
 

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Or maybe in a close game the crowd will get involved more?

[/ QUOTE ]

the refs get more involved as well....maybe as a by-product

Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System
 

[ QUOTE ]
less systems more AC stories gogogo

[/ QUOTE ]

Most won't make it into the public knowledge.

Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System
 

Noob question: How can you tell what a line opens at? Like, if I catch a line 2 hours after it opens, how do I know if it's moved?

Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System
 

Scoresandodds and covers have the opening lines listed for the games. I would be careful with scoresandodds, however, since I've noticed that the opening number occasionally changes to the number that their books open the line at. They are affiliated with a very late opening group of books.

Dankhank:
I think that three of those games should be taken out of counting. UCSB game was played at Stanford, Loyola opened at 5, and Central Florida was widely available at 2 or 2.5 until a few minutes before tipoff.

Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System
 

I show Columbia opening at -3.5 at home. Does this count?