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-   -   High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=488347)

NajdorfDefense 08-28-2007 03:03 PM

High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
I like the under on:
OU 10
LSU 10

OU and Texas play obviously. OU's QB will have no experience among the 3 competing. Miami @home is certainly no gimme altho OU will be justly favored, but if Kyle Wright outplays the OU starter...the Miami D will be very tough this year.
[if you like OU then you could short UT instead at 10 wins]

LSU I think is overrated. Lost 9 starters, stud QB, both WRs, 2 OLs. Def is good but so was last year's. Tough conference for sure. VaTech OOC is no joke, I am hoping for a great line for the Hokies to bet that game. But they do get Fla, Ark, Auburn all at home as well. Sure Matt Flynn can play...but he hasn't much.

Miles doesn't impress me, lost 5, 4, 5 games at OSU vs mostly weak opposition [w/ 2 wins v OU even] and inherited Saban's studs. Anyway, he's won 10 games RSW last 2 years and has lost JMR to the pros. I don't see Flynn doing as well.

Miami u8.5 we already discussed, on that as well.

NajdorfDefense 08-28-2007 06:55 PM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
Kirby has won the Miami QB comp, Wright struggled with a knee injury from Spring practice. Announced today. Should make life interesting on Offense. u8.5 looks better unless Kirby suddenly becomes a start after 2 years on bench, altho his mobility is better than Wright, who had none.

Coach Randy has announced 7 other 'co-starters' on the team, including Graig Cooper at RB. Will make for some real hot practices...

hedgie43 08-28-2007 08:33 PM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
I like Boise St. Under 11 wins (-130) on Bodog. This line is just ridiculous for a team that is losing a ton of players in key positions and has to play Washington, Hawaii and Fresno St. on the road.

domer2 08-28-2007 11:59 PM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
ND o7 +120 on Bodog

Overreaction line

MyTurn2Raise 08-29-2007 12:06 AM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
[ QUOTE ]
ND o7 +120 on Bodog

Overreaction line

[/ QUOTE ]

i disagree with this strongly
I have notre dame over 7 wins 30%, exactly 7 25%, under 7 45% using projected spreads and spread to moneyline conversions

MyTurn2Raise 08-29-2007 12:07 AM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
[ QUOTE ]
I like Boise St. Under 11 wins (-130) on Bodog. This line is just ridiculous for a team that is losing a ton of players in key positions and has to play Washington, Hawaii and Fresno St. on the road.

[/ QUOTE ]

agreed....hit it up for bet 2.6u to win 2u

NajdorfDefense 08-29-2007 12:09 AM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I like Boise St. Under 11 wins (-130) on Bodog. This line is just ridiculous for a team that is losing a ton of players in key positions and has to play Washington, Hawaii and Fresno St. on the road.

[/ QUOTE ]

agreed....hit it up for bet 2.6u to win 2u

[/ QUOTE ]

agreed as well.

Mediocre_Player 08-29-2007 12:14 AM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
MT2R: what did your distribution turn up for Rutgets this year, <9, 9, >9.

The o9.5 +140 looks tempting when you consider their first 5 games + 'Cuse freebie +Army speudo-freebies.

MyTurn2Raise 08-29-2007 12:19 AM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
don't have one for Rutgers...I can get on that later

TomG 08-31-2007 06:23 PM

Re: High NCAAF RSW totals - LSU/OU
 
Decent side attempt for Michigan...

Michigan RSW Bodog
Und 10.5 -110

Michigan RSW 5Dimes
Ov 10.0 -110

You should either pop both sides for the max or determine for yourself which soft side you like unhedged.


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