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-   -   KQ TP2K runs into trouble on turn (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=484049)

Fisherman23 08-22-2007 06:46 PM

KQ TP2K runs into trouble on turn
 
Villian is 27/12/1.5 through 125 hands. Has been pretty quiet so far. Push or fold?

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver Cards)

CO ($23.25)
Hero ($38)
SB ($24.35)
BB ($23.45)
UTG ($37.15)
MP ($2.85)

Preflop: Hero is Button with http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/.../smiles/ks.gif, http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/.../smiles/qc.gif.
[color=#666666]1 fold</font>, MP calls $0.25, [color=#666666]1 fold</font>, [color=#CC3333]Hero raises to $1.1</font>, [color=#666666]1 fold</font>, BB calls $0.85, MP calls $0.85.

Flop: ($3.40) http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/.../smiles/2s.gif, http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/.../smiles/kd.gif, http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/.../smiles/4d.gif [color=#0000FF](3 players)</font>
BB checks, MP checks, [color=#CC3333]Hero bets $2.5</font>, BB calls $2.50, MP folds.

Turn: ($8.40) http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/.../smiles/4s.gif [color=#0000FF](2 players)</font>
BB bets $7, Hero...

wesselc 08-22-2007 06:53 PM

Re: KQ TP2K runs into trouble on turn
 
fold, I think you are beat here. Either he slowrolled a big hand on the flop 22, 44, KK, or he has A4 if BB is loose, but you say he is has been pretty quiet so far so I would fold here.

barthen 08-22-2007 06:54 PM

Re: KQ TP2K runs into trouble on turn
 
Call - and fold to a big river bet. And valuebet if checked to on river, and no spade appears.

Montezuma21 08-22-2007 06:54 PM

Re: KQ TP2K runs into trouble on turn
 
i think it's close between push and call here. his range is prolly something like worse K (40%); FD(30%); 4 or better (20%); air (10%)

against this range i think it's close between pushing to charge flush draws, or calling and value pushing river to get a call from a worse K.

Triggerle 08-22-2007 07:07 PM

Re: KQ TP2K runs into trouble on turn
 
I'd fold. This is a small pot so far. Sure, you fold a winning hand here often but I'd like to let the others at the table look him up and collect information before I can make educated guesses as to if he is being tricky here.

Edit: also please select 2+2 format in the converter.

Fisherman23 08-22-2007 07:09 PM

Re: KQ TP2K runs into trouble on turn
 
Thank you Triggle I really like your reasoning here.


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