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-   -   $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=493331)

cbboy 09-04-2007 11:26 AM

$400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?
 
Villain is "mylifeisabeat" and is 18/15/3.79 over a decent sample. Hes pretty aggro and 3-bets a lot.

Party Poker
No Limit Hold'em Cash Game
$2/$4 Blinds
6 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

<u>SB: $1,545.50</u>
BB: $514.30
UTG: $394.00
MP: $392.00
CO: $418.00
<u>Hero (BTN): $682.80</u>

Preflop: Hero is dealt A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (6 Players)
3 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $16.00</font>, SB calls $14.00, BB folds

Flop: ($36) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $28.00</font>, Hero calls $28.00

Turn: ($92) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $66.00</font>, Hero calls $66.00

River: ($224) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets all-in for $1,435.50</font>, Hero....1?!?!?


How is the hand played so far? What do I do on the river here? Its $573 for me to call. Thanks.

David1234 09-04-2007 11:28 AM

Re: $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?
 
Fold, he bet way too big

linuxrocks 09-04-2007 11:33 AM

Re: $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?
 
Looks like a 44 or 66 to me. Any one betting OOP so strong, I can't think of any thing other than trips on the flop.

FireStorm 09-04-2007 11:40 AM

Re: $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?
 
Fold, looks like an overbet shove with a made hand trying to get paid. We beat nothing except missed diamonds.

Trivial 09-04-2007 11:53 AM

Re: $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?
 
i call, [censored] him

jfish 09-04-2007 12:36 PM

Re: $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?
 
lets say his legitimate hand range is {77, 76, 66, 44} there are 13 combinations of said hands.

lets say his bluffing range is {55, 98, Td9d, Td8d, JdTd, Jd9d, Jd8d, KdJd, KdTd, AdJd, AdTd, Ad9d, Ad8d}. i didnt include AdKd because you said he 3bet a lot, i also didnt include Qdx because i think his shoving range is FHs and bluffs. there are 33 combinations of bluffing hands.

even if you think he is only bluffing 50% of the time with his bluffing range it is a call. if you think he is bluffing way less it becomes a fold, but on a board like this i would definitely call.

FireStorm 09-04-2007 12:39 PM

Re: $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?
 
Might want to readjust range to not include nut flush draws, we hold the Ad.

Triumph36 09-04-2007 12:40 PM

Re: $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?
 
fold - that flop absolutely nailed his range

FireStorm 09-04-2007 12:41 PM

Re: $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?
 
And I can't really see why he would overbet the river on a move, $200 would accomplish the same thing if he thinks we;re capable of folding anything.

Laetus 09-04-2007 12:41 PM

Re: $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?
 
I fold. Overbets tend to be the nutz in my experience.


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