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-   -   bad fold? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=550493)

lingdog 11-20-2007 10:08 AM

bad fold?
 
hi everyone
i played a MTT at my local casino the other day, the guy to my right was a pretty decent player, the rest of the table are not so good.the blind is 100/200, my stack is around i picked up KJ offsuit in the big blind, 4 limpers, small blind just called, and i checked. the flop came J 8 4 rainbow, small blind checked, i bet 700 hundred into a 1200 pot. every1 fold excepts the small blind called, turn card is another 4. small blind bet 1000 into 2600 pot, i called (may be i shouldn't of). river card is
and Ace. he bet 2000 into 4600 pot, i have 4000 chips left and i folded.
what can he possibly have?
was he on a draw? 9 T, 5 6? so bluffing on the river
a set may be? 88? would he of checked raised me on the flop?
another 4 giving him 3 of a kind?
or a jack?
so is it a bad fold?
any feedback will be much appreciated

TheFoxNL 11-20-2007 10:30 AM

Re: bad fold?
 
i think youre beat here alott
i dont see many players bet so weak on turn and then still make a bet like that on the river

mappedout 11-20-2007 12:24 PM

Re: bad fold?
 
GF on river, tough call on turn.

[ QUOTE ]
what can he possibly have?

[/ QUOTE ]
Well once everyone folded to him on the flop he may have called with J8, 84, 4x, etc. I think 4x is most likely because of his apparent value bets on the turn and river.
[ QUOTE ]
was he on a draw? 9 T, 5 6? so bluffing on the river

[/ QUOTE ]
No, not most of the time anyways. Unlikely with the effective stack sizes he is trying to push you off a hand from the SB, he is betting for value on the turn and river IMO.

wylies 11-20-2007 12:27 PM

Re: bad fold?
 
I think you're beat. You led the flop into 4 players so he has to know you're fairly strong. His weak lead on the turn could have been an attempt to get you to raise him. River looks like a value bet and not a bluff.

Popped Rod 11-20-2007 12:36 PM

Re: bad fold?
 
[ QUOTE ]
...the guy to my right was a pretty decent player...

[/ QUOTE ]

I think you should have called. If he had a 4, he would have let you bet again and CRed.

He probably had a J with a weaker kicker and hoped he could represnt the 4.

I see these moves live all the time. The correct respoonse is "I call..if you beat me, you beat me." He mucks, you scoop.

lingdog 11-20-2007 02:59 PM

Re: bad fold?
 
thanks for the feedback guys, i think i m beat too, but i will never know now. anyway thanks so much for the ideas, they r very helpful
Lingdog


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