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-   -   Villain overbets the pot - I have the nuts, what's most +EV (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=515771)

KCrow 10-04-2007 06:09 PM

Villain overbets the pot - I have the nuts, what\'s most +EV
 
Villain is 21/17/3.66

What's the best way to get value here?

Full Tilt Poker, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

BB: $111.35
UTG: $64.95
MP: $158.30
Hero (CO): $82.50
BTN: $50
SB: $49.90

Pre-Flop: 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (CO)
2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $2</font>, 2 folds, BB calls $1.50

Flop: ($4.25) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets $3</font>, Hero calls $3

Turn: ($10.25) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets $19</font>, <font color="red">Hero?

hennnerz 10-04-2007 06:11 PM

Re: Villain overbets the pot - I have the nuts, what\'s most +EV
 
49 to go.

DaycareInferno 10-04-2007 06:12 PM

Re: Villain overbets the pot - I have the nuts, what\'s most +EV
 
i would just stick in a big raise. he could easily be on a draw or have a set with outs to beat you. if he folds a big ace, oh well. most people don't.

Nairb 10-04-2007 07:14 PM

Re: Villain overbets the pot - I have the nuts, what\'s most +EV
 
At least make it 30 to go, AQ+ or any set prob will come along for the ride.

wslee00 10-04-2007 07:14 PM

Re: Villain overbets the pot - I have the nuts, what\'s most +EV
 
easy all-in - you guys are probably splitting though

toddxlogan 10-04-2007 07:16 PM

Re: Villain overbets the pot - I have the nuts, what\'s most +EV
 
[ QUOTE ]
easy all-in - you guys are probably splitting though

[/ QUOTE ]

Disagree. I think villain has a set here almost every time and is expecting/hoping hero to call with any good ace.

wslee00 10-04-2007 07:18 PM

Re: Villain overbets the pot - I have the nuts, what\'s most +EV
 
that's fine, but once he bets $19 into a $10 pot he's not giving it up, so might as well just go all-in now.

Lostit 10-04-2007 07:22 PM

Re: Villain overbets the pot - I have the nuts, what\'s most +EV
 
What are your stats and/or table image here? I think thats crucial to deciding your bet size and what you can get this guy to do. Depending on that, I might either call behind (if I've been passive and a raise would give me away), or I might minraise if I've been overly aggro (looking like I was up to old tricks). If I was middle of the road, the $50 to go was a great answer.

Also, do you have a river aggression factor on this guy? ie. how likely am I to get a river bluff out of this guy if I call behind?

Snafu'd 10-04-2007 07:35 PM

Re: Villain overbets the pot - I have the nuts, what\'s most +EV
 
[ QUOTE ]
that's fine, but once he bets $19 into a $10 pot he's not giving it up, so might as well just go all-in now.

[/ QUOTE ]
Exactly. Plus this size all in looks less like a value raise and more like a draw semibluff to a lot of players so his calling range could actually be wider if you shove it in now.

maciczka 10-04-2007 07:43 PM

Re: Villain overbets the pot - I have the nuts, what\'s most +EV
 
toddxlogan? set? lol I think he has like AQ. I go all-in and he will call, trust me. that's nl50 ffs.


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