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-   -   Level thinking - how good you are? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=535959)

alavet 11-01-2007 06:45 AM

Level thinking - how good you are?
 
hello there,
try to determine hero's action (just in your mind, w/o paper or another sruff) after in this situation (there is would be some mistakes cause english isnt my main language):

I thought that he had thought that i thought that he wouldn't increase with powerful cards and so i ___ ?

i've invented this phrase by myself but i hvnt got an answer without paper. after all, i've made some kind of investigations (about 20 secs in MS EXCEL) and got the answer. i'm too lazy to check it again so i want ideas where is i am with it.

btmagnetw 11-01-2007 07:13 AM

Re: Level thinking - how good you are?
 
i'll help you out

i thought that he thought that i thought that he wouldn't raise with a strong hand and so i ___ ?

alavet 11-01-2007 07:26 AM

Re: Level thinking - how good you are?
 
thank you
by the way, ive got replies this is useless without context. i dont think so, but ok, there is some help with it

lets assume that hero has a marginal hand (not nuts for sure)
or simply make assumptions about villian's hand strenght

lets imagine its HU and average limits (5\10)

br.bm 11-02-2007 10:43 AM

Re: Level thinking - how good you are?
 
uhm ... I don't believe that lvl4 thinking is possible. You need to be _very_ sure how villian thinks to make a move here.

anyway ... I don't understand the question. Is villian raising the river and we want to decide to call or fold?
Is it limit or no limit? what is the pot and what are the stacks?
history?


anyway ... don't use so many "thought" words in you problem. I don't think that way. It's more like "Ok, he raises. He knows that I don't call with bad cards. So he must have a monster. Wait, I checked the turn, so he could think I'm weak. Maybe he is bluffing. But he also knows that I'm capabale of bluffreraising. Hm. Does he think I used the turn check to fake weakness? If yes than he's very strong. If not I can bluffreraise.
Ah, f$%§ you, I have TPTK, I call"


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