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-   -   16$, bubble more than just ICM? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=392330)

kozip 04-30-2007 07:49 PM

16$, bubble more than just ICM?
 
PokerStars Game #9686532648: Tournament #49156176, $15+$1 Hold'em No Limit - Level VIII (200/400) - 2007/04/30 - 18:15:20 (ET)
Table '49156176 1' 9-max Seat #9 is the button
Seat 2: Obimann (4480 in chips)
Seat 6: zlacker1 (2945 in chips)
Seat 7: HERO(2495 in chips)
Seat 9: setlyn (3580 in chips)
ANTE 25
Obimann: posts small blind 200
zlacker1: posts big blind 400
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to HERO[6 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]]

hero PUSH OR FOLD??

ICM wizzard tells me, that it is a close fold (see screenshots). BUT considering that i will be in the BB the very next hand, i may push a little more loosely here, and even make a -ev push (right?).
is this hand a basic ICM question (FOLD) or does it go beyond ICM and a push is the right move here?
http://img408.imageshack.us/img408/2...een1jf0.th.jpg

http://img410.imageshack.us/img410/9...een2mp1.th.jpg

Luisgallo 04-30-2007 08:14 PM

Re: 16$, bubble more than just ICM?
 
I fold here.

Slim Pickens 04-30-2007 08:24 PM

Re: 16$, bubble more than just ICM?
 
[ QUOTE ]
BUT considering that i will be in the BB the very next hand, i may push a little more loosely here, and even make a -ev push (right?).

[/ QUOTE ]

"Correcting" for this is wrong unless you have a reason to believe the equity loss from taking the blinds won't be equally distributed around the table over the course of the next orbit. For example, the imminent forcing of a short stack all-in could disrupt things.


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